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ActiveTownhouse

$1,988,000

2861 Josephine Ln, Palo Alto 94303

Beds3
Baths3
Sqft1,770
DOM8
No Photos Available

AddressIntel AI Briefing

This newly constructed 2025 townhouse is valued above local comparable sales and offers poor investment potential. Priced at a premium with no bulk discount angle, the narrow spreads and high acquisition cost fail to support a strong rental yield or quick-flip scenario. It is best suited as a turnkey primary residence rather than an investor acquisition.

Property Permit History

No permit history found directly associated with this property's address.

Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (Palo Alto)

2026-08-2126 ERSTWILD CT, PALO ALTO CA 94303
Project - Building Permit
--Submitted
2026-08-213200 MORRIS DR, PALO ALTO CA 94303
Project - Building Permit
--Submitted
2026-08-21525 CENTER DR, UNIT A, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Revision-Building Permit
--In Plan Check
2026-08-211310 BRYANT ST, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Revision-Building Permit
--In Plan Check
2026-08-213355 WAVERLEY ST, PALO ALTO CA 94306
Kitchen and/or Bath Remodel: Within existing footprint, non-structural changes are allowed (detached single-family and duplex only)
--Permit Issued
2026-08-213524 LOUIS RD, PALO ALTO CA 94303
Building Addressing
--Under Review

Parcel & Zoning Info

APN--
Official Lot Sqft--
Zoning Code--
SB 9 StatusN/A

Condo Investment Snapshot

Value Score16/100
Price / Sqft$1,123 vs $959 mkt
Price vs Market+17.2% Above market
Est. Rent$6,903/mo

Price positioning vs. 45 recent comparable condo/townhome sales in this ZIP. Est. rent is a rule-of-thumb (price ÷ 24 ÷ 12), not a market quote. SB 9 / ADU development analysis doesn't apply to condos: the owner doesn't control the underlying land.

Hazard Snapshot

Flood Zone

AE
Special flood hazard area; insurance may be required.

Fire Severity

None
Not in a mapped state fire severity zone.

Liquefaction

Yes
In a mapped liquefaction zone. May require specialized foundation engineering.

Fault Zone

No
Not in a mapped Alquist-Priolo fault zone.

Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities.

Nearby Public Schools

Elementary School

Ohlone Elementary

Palo Alto Unified

0.4 miles away
Middle School

Frank S. Greene Jr. Middle

Palo Alto Unified

1.0 miles away
High School

East Palo Alto Academy

Sequoia Union High

1.7 miles away

School boundaries are subject to change. Nearest school distance does not guarantee enrollment eligibility. Check with the local district. Data provided by CDE.

Proprietary Intelligence

Market Heat Index

68/100

Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 94303.

Flippability Score

12/100

Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.

Bidding War Prob.

29%

Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.

Proforma ROI Calculator

Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.

Median of 4 recent townhome sales in Palo Alto (94303): $1,144/sqft. Sized within 50% of the 2,700 sqft build, because smaller houses sell for more per foot and pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.

Carry on total capital for the project duration. At 0% the model is a cash purchase; 12 months at a typical construction-loan rate moves ROI by 6 to 10 points on a deal this size, so price it with your real rate.

Hard Costs$1,485,000
New Build2,700 sqft
Total Capital Required$3,648,000
Estimated Resale (ARV)$3,088,800
Cost of Sale (5%)-$154,440
Net Proceeds$2,934,360

Projected Profit

-$713,640
-19.6% ROI

Warning: Project is mathematically underwater.

Recent Comparables (Palo Alto 94303)

Sized to the modelled 2,700 sqft build: sales within 50% of it. Smaller houses sell for more per foot, so pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

820 Altaire Walk

Sold
$1,600,000
Sold: 2026-03-25
Lot: -
Sqft: 1562
$/Sqft: $1,024

823 Altaire Walk

Sold
$2,065,000
Sold: 2026-02-26
Lot: -
Sqft: 1889
$/Sqft: $1,093

3180 Berryessa St

Sold
$2,050,000
Sold: 2025-10-14
Lot: 882
Sqft: 1715
$/Sqft: $1,195

2870 Josephine Ln

Sold
$1,856,640
Sold: 2025-09-15
Lot: 1,436
Sqft: 1436
$/Sqft: $1,293