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ActiveCondo

$1,595,000

657 Walnut St Apt 331, San Carlos 94070

Beds3
Baths2
Sqft1,497
DOM65
No Photos Available

AddressIntel AI Briefing

This San Carlos condo unit represents a premium-priced investment with a significant markup over the local market average. With only one unit available in the building, a bulk-purchase angle is unavailable, making this a pure individual play. Strong rental yields are possible, but investors must weigh the high entry cost against the solid neighborhood appreciation.

Property Permit History

DateProject TypeStatusValuationContractor
2026-04-09MEP - Mechanical MiscellaneousFinaled$4,113NUR HVAC INC
2025-09-18Building (Residential) - Bathroom RemodelPlan Approval Expired$1,500Owner Builder
2025-07-16Building (Residential) - Bathroom RemodelPlan Approval Expired$25,000Owner Builder
2025-06-05Building (Residential) - Bathroom RemodelFinaled$7,500CITY OF SAN CARLOS LESSEE
2025-01-28MEP - New FAUFinaled$1,560CITY OF SAN CARLOS LESSEE
2024-03-14MEP - Water HeaterFinaled--ACCO ENGINEERED SYSTEMS
2023-10-19Building (Residential) - Bathroom RemodelExpired$13,000BAY BUILDING & CONSTRUCTION INC
2023-05-25Building (Commercial) - SignageFinaled--CITY OF SAN CARLOS LESSEE
2023-03-29Building (Residential) - Bathroom RemodelFinaled$20,000CITY OF SAN CARLOS LESSEE

Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (San Carlos)

2026-10-22 • 240 OAKVIEW DR SAN CARLOS CA 94070
Building Residential-New Single Family & ADU
$750,000Issued
2026-10-21 • 1174 GREENWOOD AVE Unit: E SAN CARLOS CA 94070
Building Residential-Bathroom Remodel
$10,000Issued
2026-10-21 • 2013 ST FRANCIS WAY SAN CARLOS CA 94070
Building Residential-Interior Remodel
$26,000Issued
2026-10-21 • 117 CLUB DR SAN CARLOS CA 94070
Building (Residential) - Kitchen Remodel
$50,500Issued
2026-10-20 • 431 HILLCREST RD SAN CARLOS CA 94070
Building Residential-New Single Family
$702,000Issued
2026-10-20 • 728 ELM ST SAN CARLOS CA 94070
Building Residential-Bathroom Remodel
$44,000Issued

Parcel & Zoning Info

APN118140999
Official Lot Sqft81,224
Zoning CodeNO DATA ASSIGNED
SB 9 StatusN/A

Condo Investment Snapshot

Value Score0/100
Price / Sqft$1,066 vs $848 mkt
Price vs Market+25.7% Above market
Est. Rent$5,538/mo

Price positioning vs. 90 recent comparable condo/townhome sales in this ZIP. Est. rent is a rule-of-thumb (price ÷ 24 ÷ 12), not a market quote. SB 9 / ADU development analysis doesn't apply to condos: the owner doesn't control the underlying land.

Seller Motivation

Motivation Score20/100
Low motivation
60+ days on market

Inferred from days on market and listing-description language (e.g. "as-is", "estate sale", "motivated seller"). A screening heuristic for likely negotiability, not a statement about the seller's circumstances.

Hazard Snapshot

Flood Zone

X
Area of minimal flood hazard.

Fire Severity

None
Not in a mapped state fire severity zone.

Liquefaction

Yes
In a mapped liquefaction zone. May require specialized foundation engineering.

Fault Zone

No
Not in a mapped Alquist-Priolo fault zone.

Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities. Liquefaction and fault flags: modified from California Geological Survey, Web Service of Official Maps of Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones and Web Service of Official Maps of Seismic Hazard Zones (2025).

Nearby Public Schools

Elementary School

Arroyo

San Carlos Elementary

0.3 miles away
Middle School

Central Middle

San Carlos Elementary

0.3 miles away
High School

Redwood High

Sequoia Union High

1.1 miles away

School boundaries are subject to change. Nearest school distance does not guarantee enrollment eligibility. Check with the local district. Data provided by CDE.

Proprietary Intelligence

Market Heat Index

88/100

Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 94070.

Flippability Score

15/100

Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.

Bidding War Prob.

44%

Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.

Proforma ROI Calculator

Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.

Median of 12 recent condo sales in San Carlos (94070): $894/sqft, plus 5% because new houses sold at a median 1.07x their comps across 239 real rebuilds. Sized within 50% of the 2,200 sqft build, because smaller houses sell for more per foot and pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.

Interest on the purchase price for the whole project plus half the build budget, since construction draws ramp up. The default is 7% over 33 months, the median purchase-to-sale time of 239 real Peninsula and South Bay rebuilds. Set the rate to 0 for a cash purchase, or use your own lender's terms.

Hard Costs$1,210,000
New Build2,200 sqft
Total Capital Required$2,980,000
Estimated Resale (ARV)$2,065,800
Cost of Sale (5%)-$103,290
Carry (33mo @ 7%)-$440,344
Net Proceeds$1,522,166

Projected Profit

-$1,457,834
-48.9% ROI

Warning: Project is mathematically underwater.

Recent Comparables (San Carlos 94070)

Sized to the modelled 2,200 sqft build: sales within 50% of it. Smaller houses sell for more per foot, so pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

3368 LA Mesa Dr Apt 12

Sold
$1,125,000
Sold: 2026-10-05
Lot: 1,434
Sqft: 1239
$/Sqft: $908

657 Walnut St Apt 303

Sold
$1,485,000
Sold: 2026-09-30
Lot: -
Sqft: 1223
$/Sqft: $1,214

402 Portofino Dr Apt 3

Sold
$1,000,000
Sold: 2026-09-18
Lot: 1,084
Sqft: 1570
$/Sqft: $637

657 Walnut St Apt 540

Sold
$1,485,000
Sold: 2026-08-13
Lot: 1,241
Sqft: 1223
$/Sqft: $1,214

416 Portofino Dr Apt 303

Sold
$1,030,000
Sold: 2026-08-10
Lot: 1,424
Sqft: 1250
$/Sqft: $824

416 Portofino Dr # 15

Sold
$1,030,000
Sold: 2026-08-10
Lot: 36,679
Sqft: 1250
$/Sqft: $824

793 Elm St Apt 21

Sold
$1,256,000
Sold: 2026-07-31
Lot: -
Sqft: 1519
$/Sqft: $827

657 Walnut St Apt 423

Sold
$1,465,000
Sold: 2026-07-27
Lot: -
Sqft: 1223
$/Sqft: $1,198

520 El Camino Real Ste 309

Sold
$1,310,000
Sold: 2026-07-02
Lot: -
Sqft: 1424
$/Sqft: $920

793 Elm St Apt 23

Sold
$1,330,000
Sold: 2026-06-16
Lot: -
Sqft: 1512
$/Sqft: $880

1501 Cherry St Unit 208

Sold
$1,250,000
Sold: 2026-06-12
Lot: -
Sqft: 1117
$/Sqft: $1,119

3362 LA Mesa Dr Apt 5

Sold
$968,000
Sold: 2026-05-21
Lot: 237,489
Sqft: 1239
$/Sqft: $781