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ActiveSingle Family

$2,599,888

18857 Montalvo Oaks Cir, Monte Sereno 95030

Beds3
Baths2.5
Sqft1,844
DOM4
No Photos Available

AddressIntel AI Briefing

The optimal play is a buy-and-hold rental or immediate resale because a teardown is completely unviable for this nearly brand-new build. Extremely high lot coverage and liquefaction hazards further block any meaningful structural expansion.

Property Permit History

No permit history found directly associated with this property's address.

Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (Monte Sereno)

Parcel & Zoning Info

APN51061012
Official Lot Sqft2,614
Zoning Code--
SB 9 StatusLikely · up to 4 units
SB 9 Block Reasons No SB 9 disqualifiers found
Development Blockers
Liquefaction
Unlock Pathways
Ministerial ADU Ministerial SB 9 Density Bonus
Entitlement RiskLow (0/100)

ADU Potential

Feasibility Score29/100
Max ADU Units2 (ADU + JADU)
Est. ADU Size500 sqft
Existing Coverage70.5%

Standard lot · Corner lot · ~44 ft frontage × 63 ft deep, typical proportions for a detached ADU behind or beside the home. A second street frontage lets an ADU take its own entrance and address.

Screening heuristic based on lot size, existing coverage, lot orientation, and hazard overlays. CA ADU law is ministerial statewide; verify max size, setbacks, and JADU owner-occupancy with the local planning dept.

Redevelopment Potential

Redevelopment Score4/100
ClassBuilt out
FAR Utilization176% of allowed
Buildable Headroom+0 sqft

Existing home already uses most of the allowable floor area, little expansion headroom. Zoning allows roughly 1,046 sqft of gross floor area on this lot.

Screening estimate comparing existing living area to the city's single-family floor-area limit. City sets no explicit FAR (or is not individually curated); allowable area is a conservative estimate. Source: conservative default (0.40 FAR — city not individually curated) (as of 2026-06-30). Verify FAR, coverage, setbacks, and height with the local planning dept.

Hazard Snapshot

Flood Zone

D
Special flood hazard area; insurance may be required.

Fire Severity

None
Not in a mapped state fire severity zone.

Liquefaction

Yes
In a mapped liquefaction zone. May require specialized foundation engineering.

Fault Zone

No
Not in a mapped Alquist-Priolo fault zone.

Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities. Liquefaction and fault flags: modified from California Geological Survey, Web Service of Official Maps of Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones and Web Service of Official Maps of Seismic Hazard Zones (2025).

Nearby Public Schools

Elementary School

Daves Avenue Elementary

Los Gatos Union Elementary

1.1 miles away
Middle School

Redwood Middle

Saratoga Union Elementary

1.9 miles away
High School

Los Gatos High

Los Gatos-Saratoga Union High

1.8 miles away

School boundaries are subject to change. Nearest school distance does not guarantee enrollment eligibility. Check with the local district. Data provided by CDE.

Proprietary Intelligence

Market Heat Index

49/100

Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 95030.

Flippability Score

20/100

Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.

Bidding War Prob.

1%

Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.

Proforma ROI Calculator

Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.

Zoning allows roughly 1,046 sqft here, less than the 1,844 sqft standing today, so a compliant rebuild would be smaller than the existing house. We don't quote a return on this one. Demolishing generally forfeits the existing non-conforming floor area, so treat it as a remodel or check the local code for what it lets you rebuild.

Median of 12 recent single-family sales in Monte Sereno (95030): $1,621/sqft, plus 5% because new houses sold at a median 1.07x their comps across 239 real rebuilds. Sized within 25% of the 1,800 sqft build, because smaller houses sell for more per foot and pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.

Interest on the purchase price for the whole project plus half the build budget, since construction draws ramp up. The default is 7% over 33 months, the median purchase-to-sale time of 239 real Peninsula and South Bay rebuilds. Set the rate to 0 for a cash purchase, or use your own lender's terms.

Hard Costs$550,000
New Build1,000 sqft
Total Capital Required$3,324,888
Estimated Resale (ARV)$1,702,000
Cost of Sale (5%)-$85,100
Carry (33mo @ 7%)-$570,260
Net Proceeds$1,046,640

Projected Profit

-$2,278,248
-68.5% ROI

Warning: Project is mathematically underwater.

Recent Comparables (Monte Sereno 95030)

Sized to the modelled 1,800 sqft build: sales within 25% of it. Smaller houses sell for more per foot, so pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

17445 Pleasant View Ave

Sold
$3,500,000
Sold: 2026-10-09
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$/Sqft: $1,643

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18867 Montalvo Oaks Cir

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$/Sqft: $1,332

15781 Poppy Ln

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17981 Rose Ct

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$3,528,000
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18220 Daves Ave

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15420 Karl Ave

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18855 Montalvo Oaks Cir

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$/Sqft: $1,551

15415 Winchester Blvd

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$/Sqft: $1,598

18825 Montalvo Oaks Cir

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$3,000,000
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$/Sqft: $1,749

17705 Vista Ave

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$3,050,000
Sold: 2025-05-21
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Sqft: 1993
$/Sqft: $1,530