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ActiveTownhouse

$915,000

4744 Durango River Ct, San Jose 95136

Beds3
Baths2.5
Sqft1,441
DOM6
No Photos Available

AddressIntel AI Briefing

This property's minimal lot size and tight planned development layout exclude any possibility of expansion or redevelopment. The optimal play is a fast cosmetic upgrade and flip to capture immediate retail buyer demand in a highly competitive entry-level price point. This minimizes holding costs and yields swift capital turn.

Property Permit History

No permit history found directly associated with this property's address.

Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (San Jose)

2026-10-19 • 192 NEW RIVER DR , SAN JOSE CA 95119-1850
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--Active
2026-10-19 • 639 N MONROE ST , SAN JOSE CA 95128-1341
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$143,135Active
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$10,234Active

Parcel & Zoning Info

APN45827028
Official Lot Sqft1,307
Zoning Code--
SB 9 StatusN/A

Condo Investment Snapshot

Value Score49/100
Price / Sqft$635 vs $632 mkt
Price vs Market+0.5% At market
Est. Rent$3,177/mo

Price positioning vs. 134 recent comparable condo/townhome sales in this ZIP. Est. rent is a rule-of-thumb (price ÷ 24 ÷ 12), not a market quote. SB 9 / ADU development analysis doesn't apply to condos: the owner doesn't control the underlying land.

Hazard Snapshot

Flood Zone

D
Special flood hazard area; insurance may be required.

Fire Severity

None
Not in a mapped state fire severity zone.

Liquefaction

Yes
In a mapped liquefaction zone. May require specialized foundation engineering.

Fault Zone

No
Not in a mapped Alquist-Priolo fault zone.

Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities. Liquefaction and fault flags: modified from California Geological Survey, Web Service of Official Maps of Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones and Web Service of Official Maps of Seismic Hazard Zones (2025).

Nearby Public Schools

Elementary School

Rachel Carson Elementary

San Jose Unified

0.6 miles away
Middle School

John Muir Middle

San Jose Unified

1.2 miles away
High School

Liberty Alternative

San Jose Unified

0.2 miles away

School boundaries are subject to change. Nearest school distance does not guarantee enrollment eligibility. Check with the local district. Data provided by CDE.

Proprietary Intelligence

Market Heat Index

70/100

Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 95136.

Flippability Score

45/100

Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.

Bidding War Prob.

10%

Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.

Proforma ROI Calculator

Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.

Median of 12 recent townhome sales in San Jose (95136): $588/sqft, plus 5% because new houses sold at a median 1.07x their comps across 239 real rebuilds. Sized within 25% of the 2,200 sqft build, because smaller houses sell for more per foot and pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.

Interest on the purchase price for the whole project plus half the build budget, since construction draws ramp up. The default is 7% over 33 months, the median purchase-to-sale time of 239 real Peninsula and South Bay rebuilds. Set the rate to 0 for a cash purchase, or use your own lender's terms.

Hard Costs$1,210,000
New Build2,200 sqft
Total Capital Required$2,300,000
Estimated Resale (ARV)$1,357,400
Cost of Sale (5%)-$67,870
Carry (33mo @ 7%)-$309,444
Net Proceeds$980,086

Projected Profit

-$1,319,914
-57.4% ROI

Warning: Project is mathematically underwater.

Recent Comparables (San Jose 95136)

Sized to the modelled 2,200 sqft build: sales within 25% of it. Smaller houses sell for more per foot, so pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

4641 Hampton Falls Pl

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3058 San Jose Vineyard Ct Unit 4

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$/Sqft: $625

378 Adeline Ave

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$1,275,000
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$/Sqft: $547

262 Agustin Narvaez St Unit 3

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$/Sqft: $681