Back to Search
ActiveSingle Family

$1,290,000

16195 Church St, Morgan Hill 95037

Beds5
Baths2.5
Sqft2,236
DOM155
No Photos Available

AddressIntel AI Briefing

This wide suburban parcel is an ideal fit for a stealth density: primary + ADU + JADU play. The lot configuration offers clean side-yard access, facilitating hassle-free construction of secondary detached units. Modernizing the primary home's interior will quickly close the value gap with top nearby comps.

Property Permit History

No permit history found directly associated with this property's address.

Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (Morgan Hill)

Parcel & Zoning Info

APN81703025
Official Lot Sqft9,583
Zoning Code--
SB 9 StatusLikely · up to 4 units
Unlock Pathways
Ministerial ADU Ministerial SB 9 Density Bonus
Entitlement RiskLow (0/100)

ADU Potential

Feasibility Score98/100
Max ADU Units2 (ADU + JADU)
Est. ADU Size1,200 sqft
Existing Coverage23.3%

Flag / irregular · Corner lot · ~121 ft frontage × 150 ft deep, a tucked-away rear unit is very private; access is typically via the pole driveway. A second street frontage lets an ADU take its own entrance and address.

Screening heuristic based on lot size, existing coverage, lot orientation, and hazard overlays. CA ADU law is ministerial statewide; verify max size, setbacks, and JADU owner-occupancy with the local planning dept.

Seller Motivation

Motivation Score30/100
Some motivation
90+ days on market

Inferred from days on market and listing-description language (e.g. "as-is", "estate sale", "motivated seller"). A screening heuristic for likely negotiability, not a statement about the seller's circumstances.

Redevelopment Potential

Redevelopment Score55/100
ClassExpansion room
FAR Utilization58% of allowed
Buildable Headroom+1,597 sqft

Meaningful unused floor-area headroom under current zoning, room to add square footage. Zoning allows roughly 3,833 sqft of gross floor area on this lot.

Screening estimate comparing existing living area to the city's single-family floor-area limit. City sets no explicit FAR (or is not individually curated); allowable area is a conservative estimate. Source: conservative default (0.40 FAR — city not individually curated) (as of 2026-06-30). Verify FAR, coverage, setbacks, and height with the local planning dept.

Hazard Snapshot

Flood Zone

X
Area of minimal flood hazard.

Fire Severity

None
Not in a mapped state fire severity zone.

Liquefaction

No
Not in a mapped liquefaction zone.

Fault Zone

No
Not in a mapped Alquist-Priolo fault zone.

Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities. Liquefaction and fault flags: modified from California Geological Survey, Web Service of Official Maps of Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones and Web Service of Official Maps of Seismic Hazard Zones (2025).

Nearby Public Schools

Elementary School

Voices College-Bound Language Academy at Morgan Hill

Santa Clara County Office of Education

0.3 miles away
Middle School

Lewis H. Britton Middle

Morgan Hill Unified

1.3 miles away
High School

Live Oak High

Morgan Hill Unified

2.2 miles away

School boundaries are subject to change. Nearest school distance does not guarantee enrollment eligibility. Check with the local district. Data provided by CDE.

Proprietary Intelligence

Market Heat Index

87/100

Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 95037.

Flippability Score

70/100

Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.

Bidding War Prob.

1%

Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.

Proforma ROI Calculator

Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.

We don't hold this jurisdiction's floor-area rule, so the default builds to roughly 3,833 sqft from a conservative 0.40 FAR approximation, a starting point and not a zoning answer. Check the local code before you rely on it.

Median of 12 recent single-family sales in Morgan Hill (95037): $565/sqft, plus 5% because new houses sold at a median 1.07x their comps across 239 real rebuilds. Sized within 25% of the 3,800 sqft build, because smaller houses sell for more per foot and pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.

Interest on the purchase price for the whole project plus half the build budget, since construction draws ramp up. The default is 7% over 33 months, the median purchase-to-sale time of 239 real Peninsula and South Bay rebuilds. Set the rate to 0 for a cash purchase, or use your own lender's terms.

Hard Costs$2,090,000
New Build3,800 sqft
Total Capital Required$3,555,000
Estimated Resale (ARV)$2,253,400
Cost of Sale (5%)-$112,670
Carry (33mo @ 7%)-$466,331
Net Proceeds$1,674,399

Projected Profit

-$1,880,601
-52.9% ROI

Warning: Project is mathematically underwater.

Recent Comparables (Morgan Hill 95037)

Sized to the modelled 3,800 sqft build: sales within 25% of it. Smaller houses sell for more per foot, so pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

190 Fennel Ct

Sold
$2,150,000
Sold: 2026-10-20
Lot: 10,399
Sqft: 3850
$/Sqft: $558

19221 Eagle View Dr

Sold
$1,880,000
Sold: 2026-10-16
Lot: 7,069
Sqft: 2856
$/Sqft: $658

18275 Los Padres Pl

Sold
$2,090,000
Sold: 2026-10-15
Lot: 9,382
Sqft: 3577
$/Sqft: $584

585 Calle Siena

Sold
$2,025,000
Sold: 2026-10-13
Lot: 9,182
Sqft: 3727
$/Sqft: $543

16815 Cabernet Cir

Sold
$2,040,000
Sold: 2026-09-30
Lot: 8,779
Sqft: 3042
$/Sqft: $671

15750 Casino Real

Sold
$1,640,000
Sold: 2026-09-28
Lot: 12,600
Sqft: 3217
$/Sqft: $510

16890 Oak Leaf Dr

Sold
$1,140,000
Sold: 2026-09-23
Lot: 20,116
Sqft: 3157
$/Sqft: $361

674 Calle Siena

Sold
$2,100,000
Sold: 2026-09-15
Lot: 9,326
Sqft: 3734
$/Sqft: $562

177 Peral Ave

Sold
$1,699,999
Sold: 2026-09-11
Lot: 6,091
Sqft: 2996
$/Sqft: $567

18665 Purissima Way

Sold
$2,600,000
Sold: 2026-09-04
Lot: 14,099
Sqft: 4059
$/Sqft: $641

17045 Hill Rd

Sold
$2,235,000
Sold: 2026-09-04
Lot: 8,938
Sqft: 3378
$/Sqft: $662

17115 Holiday Dr

Sold
$1,575,000
Sold: 2026-09-01
Lot: 21,672
Sqft: 2904
$/Sqft: $542