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PendingCondo

$1,890,000

4008 Villa Vista, Palo Alto 94306

Beds3
Baths2
Sqft1,451
DOM12
No Photos Available

AddressIntel AI Briefing

This property represents a premium-priced condo investment that sits above typical market price per square foot metrics. Capital appreciation is limited by its high initial entry price, making it primarily a stable rental yield play in a highly desirable Palo Alto block group. Its investment thesis rests on strong long-term local demographics and low maintenance needs.

Property Permit History

DateProject TypeStatusValuationContractor
Finaled$49,891GOGREEN ROOFING CORPORATION

Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (Palo Alto)

2865 ALMA ST
$17,365Finaled
3048 STELLING DR
$18,700Finaled
1001 HAMILTON AV
$8,000Finaled
4243 MANUELA AV
$20,000Finaled
4179 COULOMBE DR
$78,000Finaled
777 SAN ANTONIO AV, UNIT 113
--Finaled

Parcel & Zoning Info

APN13723047
Official Lot Sqft4,356
Zoning Code--
SB 9 StatusN/A

Condo Investment Snapshot

Value Score0/100
Price / Sqft$1,303 vs $1,028 mkt
Price vs Market+26.8% Above market
Est. Rent$6,562/mo

Price positioning vs. 77 recent comparable condo/townhome sales in this ZIP. Est. rent is a rule-of-thumb (price ÷ 24 ÷ 12), not a market quote. SB 9 / ADU development analysis doesn't apply to condos: the owner doesn't control the underlying land.

Hazard Snapshot

Flood Zone

X
Area of minimal flood hazard.

Fire Severity

None
Not in a mapped state fire severity zone.

Liquefaction

No
Not in a mapped liquefaction zone.

Fault Zone

No
Not in a mapped Alquist-Priolo fault zone.

Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities. Liquefaction and fault flags: modified from California Geological Survey, Web Service of Official Maps of Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones and Web Service of Official Maps of Seismic Hazard Zones (2025).

Nearby Public Schools

Elementary School

Barron Park Elementary

Palo Alto Unified

0.5 miles away
Middle School

Jane Lathrop Stanford Middle

Palo Alto Unified

0.7 miles away
High School

Henry M. Gunn High

Palo Alto Unified

1.0 miles away

School boundaries are subject to change. Nearest school distance does not guarantee enrollment eligibility. Check with the local district. Data provided by CDE.

Proprietary Intelligence

Market Heat Index

72/100

Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 94306.

Flippability Score

30/100

Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.

Bidding War Prob.

53%

Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.

Proforma ROI Calculator

Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.

Median of 4 recent condo sales in Palo Alto (94306): $1,207/sqft. Sized within 25% of the 2,200 sqft build, because smaller houses sell for more per foot and pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.

Carry on total capital for the project duration. At 0% the model is a cash purchase; 12 months at a typical construction-loan rate moves ROI by 6 to 10 points on a deal this size, so price it with your real rate.

Hard Costs$1,210,000
New Build2,200 sqft
Total Capital Required$3,275,000
Estimated Resale (ARV)$2,655,400
Cost of Sale (5%)-$132,770
Net Proceeds$2,522,630

Projected Profit

-$752,370
-23.0% ROI

Warning: Project is mathematically underwater.

Recent Comparables (Palo Alto 94306)

Sized to the modelled 2,200 sqft build: sales within 25% of it. Smaller houses sell for more per foot, so pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

4237 Ponce Dr

Sold
$2,140,000
Sold: 2026-05-26
Lot: -
Sqft: 1812
$/Sqft: $1,181

435 Sheridan Ave Apt 312

Sold
$2,500,000
Sold: 2026-01-08
Lot: -
Sqft: 2029
$/Sqft: $1,232

200 Sheridan Ave Apt 107

Sold
$1,410,150
Sold: 2025-12-09
Lot: -
Sqft: 1659
$/Sqft: $850

200 Sheridan Ave Apt 103

Sold
$2,425,000
Sold: 2025-11-24
Lot: -
Sqft: 1827
$/Sqft: $1,327