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ActiveSingle Family

$6,988,000

15 San Juan Ave, Menlo Park 94025

Beds5
Baths5
Sqft4,726
DOM91
No Photos Available

AddressIntel AI Briefing

As a 2026 build priced above its theoretical ARV, a teardown makes no economic sense. The optimal move here is stealth density: primary + ADU + JADU using the high-income demographic base, though liquefaction risks could drive up foundation engineering costs.

Property Permit History

No permit history found directly associated with this property's address.

Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (Menlo Park)

2026-10-21 • 4 PALM CT, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Building Permit
--Received
2026-10-21 • 728 NASH AVE, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Building Permit
--Pending Fee Payment
2026-10-21 • 240 WILLOW RD, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Building Permit
--Pending Fee Payment
2026-10-21 • 1044 NOEL DR, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Building Pre-Application
--Received
2026-10-21 • 1100 SANTA CRUZ AVE, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Building Permit
--Pending Fee Payment
2026-10-20 • 3 WHITNEY CT, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Residential Reroof
--Pending

Parcel & Zoning Info

APN070270170
Official Lot Sqft9,949
Zoning CodeR-1, S-92
SB 9 StatusEligible · up to 4 units
SB 9 Block Reasons No SB 9 disqualifiers found
Development Blockers
Liquefaction
Unlock Pathways
Ministerial ADU Ministerial SB 9 Density Bonus
Entitlement RiskLow (0/100)

ADU Potential

Feasibility Score74/100
Max ADU Units2 (ADU + JADU)
Est. ADU Size1,200 sqft
Existing Coverage47.5%

Flag / irregular · ~119 ft frontage × 171 ft deep, a tucked-away rear unit is very private; access is typically via the pole driveway.

Screening heuristic based on lot size, existing coverage, lot orientation, and hazard overlays. CA ADU law is ministerial statewide; verify max size, setbacks, and JADU owner-occupancy with the local planning dept.

Seller Motivation

Motivation Score30/100
Some motivation
90+ days on market

Inferred from days on market and listing-description language (e.g. "as-is", "estate sale", "motivated seller"). A screening heuristic for likely negotiability, not a statement about the seller's circumstances.

Hazard Snapshot

Flood Zone

X
Area of minimal flood hazard.

Fire Severity

None
Not in a mapped state fire severity zone.

Liquefaction

Yes
In a mapped liquefaction zone. May require specialized foundation engineering.

Fault Zone

No
Not in a mapped Alquist-Priolo fault zone.

Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities. Liquefaction and fault flags: modified from California Geological Survey, Web Service of Official Maps of Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones and Web Service of Official Maps of Seismic Hazard Zones (2025).

Nearby Public Schools

Elementary School

Las Lomitas Elementary

Las Lomitas Elementary

0.3 miles away
Middle School

Hillview Middle

Menlo Park City Elementary

0.7 miles away
High School

Woodside High

Sequoia Union High

1.3 miles away

School boundaries are subject to change. Nearest school distance does not guarantee enrollment eligibility. Check with the local district. Data provided by CDE.

Proprietary Intelligence

Market Heat Index

92/100

Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 94025.

Flippability Score

10/100

Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.

Bidding War Prob.

37%

Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.

Proforma ROI Calculator

Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.

Median of 12 recent single-family sales in Menlo Park (94025): $1,806/sqft, plus 5% because new houses sold at a median 1.07x their comps across 239 real rebuilds. Sized within 25% of the 7,100 sqft build, because smaller houses sell for more per foot and pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.

Interest on the purchase price for the whole project plus half the build budget, since construction draws ramp up. The default is 7% over 33 months, the median purchase-to-sale time of 239 real Peninsula and South Bay rebuilds. Set the rate to 0 for a cash purchase, or use your own lender's terms.

Hard Costs$3,905,000
New Build7,100 sqft
Total Capital Required$11,068,000
Estimated Resale (ARV)$13,461,600
Cost of Sale (5%)-$673,080
Carry (33mo @ 7%)-$1,737,890
Net Proceeds$11,050,630

Projected Profit

-$17,370
-0.2% ROI

Warning: Project is mathematically underwater.

Recent Comparables (Menlo Park 94025)

Sized to the modelled 7,100 sqft build: sales within 25% of it. Smaller houses sell for more per foot, so pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

595 Hobart St

Sold
$12,820,000
Sold: 2026-10-07
Lot: 11,187
Sqft: 5913
$/Sqft: $2,168

6 Maywood Ln

Sold
$18,300,000
Sold: 2026-07-23
Lot: 21,360
Sqft: 6066
$/Sqft: $3,017

2315 Warner Range Ave

Sold
$11,495,000
Sold: 2026-07-15
Lot: 12,048
Sqft: 6402
$/Sqft: $1,796

1335 N Lemon Ave

Sold
$9,495,000
Sold: 2026-06-26
Lot: 10,250
Sqft: 5520
$/Sqft: $1,720

202 Felton Dr

Sold
$6,750,000
Sold: 2026-06-12
Lot: 11,360
Sqft: 5590
$/Sqft: $1,208

1147 Windsor Way

Sold
$11,125,000
Sold: 2026-06-01
Lot: 10,206
Sqft: 5932
$/Sqft: $1,875

2171 Clayton Dr

Sold
$13,100,000
Sold: 2026-05-29
Lot: 15,656
Sqft: 6885
$/Sqft: $1,903

927 Continental Dr

Sold
$4,500,000
Sold: 2026-05-22
Lot: 29,591
Sqft: 5610
$/Sqft: $802

1650 Oak Ave

Sold
$13,500,000
Sold: 2026-05-13
Lot: 15,218
Sqft: 7429
$/Sqft: $1,817

160 Garland Dr

Sold
$10,713,000
Sold: 2026-04-29
Lot: 13,500
Sqft: 6335
$/Sqft: $1,691

2319 Warner Range Ave

Sold
$11,750,000
Sold: 2026-04-27
Lot: 12,500
Sqft: 7320
$/Sqft: $1,605

1245 N Lemon Ave

Sold
$10,750,000
Sold: 2026-03-24
Lot: 10,200
Sqft: 5839
$/Sqft: $1,841