$1,950,000
15895 Ravine Rd, Los Gatos 95030
AddressIntel AI Briefing
The optimal play is teardown-and-mansionize to establish an expansive luxury estate on this massive hillside lot. Multiple environmental blockers—including prime farmland, landsliding, and a Very High Fire Severity Zone—completely block SB 9 subdivision. High-end buyers will demand robust hazard-mitigation systems, which will elevate overall construction budgets.
Property Permit History
Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (Los Gatos)
Parcel & Zoning Info
ADU Potential
Flag / irregular · Corner lot · ~278 ft frontage × 282 ft deep, a tucked-away rear unit is very private; access is typically via the pole driveway. A second street frontage lets an ADU take its own entrance and address.
Screening heuristic based on lot size, existing coverage, lot orientation, and hazard overlays. CA ADU law is ministerial statewide; verify max size, setbacks, and JADU owner-occupancy with the local planning dept.
Seller Motivation
Inferred from days on market and listing-description language (e.g. "as-is", "estate sale", "motivated seller"). A screening heuristic for likely negotiability, not a statement about the seller's circumstances.
Hazard Snapshot
Flood Zone
Fire Severity
Liquefaction
Fault Zone
Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities. Liquefaction and fault flags: modified from California Geological Survey, Web Service of Official Maps of Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones and Web Service of Official Maps of Seismic Hazard Zones (2025).
Nearby Public Schools
Daves Avenue Elementary
Los Gatos Union Elementary
Redwood Middle
Saratoga Union Elementary
Los Gatos High
Los Gatos-Saratoga Union High
School boundaries are subject to change. Nearest school distance does not guarantee enrollment eligibility. Check with the local district. Data provided by CDE.
Proprietary Intelligence
Market Heat Index
53/100
Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 95030.
Flippability Score
85/100
Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.
Bidding War Prob.
11%
Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.
Proforma ROI Calculator
Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.
Median of 12 recent single-family sales in Los Gatos (95030): $1,510/sqft, plus 5% because new houses sold at a median 1.07x their comps across 239 real rebuilds. Sized within 25% of the 3,000 sqft build, because smaller houses sell for more per foot and pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.
Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.
Interest on the purchase price for the whole project plus half the build budget, since construction draws ramp up. The default is 7% over 33 months, the median purchase-to-sale time of 239 real Peninsula and South Bay rebuilds. Set the rate to 0 for a cash purchase, or use your own lender's terms.
Projected Profit
Warning: Margin is tight for the construction risk.
Recent Comparables (Los Gatos 95030)
Sized to the modelled 3,000 sqft build: sales within 25% of it. Smaller houses sell for more per foot, so pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.