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ActiveSingle Family

$1,950,000

15895 Ravine Rd, Los Gatos 95030

Beds2
Baths2
Sqft1,972
DOM10
No Photos Available

AddressIntel AI Briefing

The optimal play is teardown-and-mansionize to establish an expansive luxury estate on this massive hillside lot. Multiple environmental blockers—including prime farmland, landsliding, and a Very High Fire Severity Zone—completely block SB 9 subdivision. High-end buyers will demand robust hazard-mitigation systems, which will elevate overall construction budgets.

Property Permit History

No permit history found directly associated with this property's address.

Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (Los Gatos)

2026-09-0416781 LITTLEFIELD LN, LOS GATOS CA 95032
Residential - Photovoltaic
--Plan Check
2026-09-0415400 SUVIEW DR, LOS GATOS CA 95032
Online Pre-aplication
--Received
2026-09-04439 ALBERTO WAY, UNIT A202, LOS GATOS CA 95032
Residential - HVAC
--Pending
2026-09-04760 POLLARD RD, LOS GATOS CA 95032
Residential - Reroof
--Active
2026-09-0451 ELLENWOOD AVE, LOS GATOS CA 95030
Residential - E - Other
--Plan Check
2026-09-04782 POLLARD RD, LOS GATOS CA 95032
Residential - Reroof
--Active

Parcel & Zoning Info

APN51029056
Official Lot Sqft43,560
Zoning CodeHS-d1
SB 9 StatusBlocked
SB 9 Block Reasons
Very High Fire Severity Zone Prime Farmland
Development Blockers
Very High Fire Zone Prime Farmland Landslide
Unlock Pathways
Ministerial ADU
Entitlement RiskModerate (48/100)

ADU Potential

Feasibility Score87/100
Max ADU Units2 (ADU + JADU)
Est. ADU Size1,200 sqft
Existing Coverage4.5%

Flag / irregular · Corner lot · ~278 ft frontage × 282 ft deep, a tucked-away rear unit is very private; access is typically via the pole driveway. A second street frontage lets an ADU take its own entrance and address.

Screening heuristic based on lot size, existing coverage, lot orientation, and hazard overlays. CA ADU law is ministerial statewide; verify max size, setbacks, and JADU owner-occupancy with the local planning dept.

Hazard Snapshot

Flood Zone

D
Special flood hazard area; insurance may be required.

Fire Severity

Very High
Elevated fire risk; impacts insurance cost and building materials.

Liquefaction

No
Not in a mapped liquefaction zone.

Fault Zone

No
Not in a mapped Alquist-Priolo fault zone.

Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities.

Nearby Public Schools

Elementary School

Daves Avenue Elementary

Los Gatos Union Elementary

1.7 miles away
Middle School

Redwood Middle

Saratoga Union Elementary

2.0 miles away
High School

Los Gatos High

Los Gatos-Saratoga Union High

2.1 miles away

School boundaries are subject to change. Nearest school distance does not guarantee enrollment eligibility. Check with the local district. Data provided by CDE.

Proprietary Intelligence

Market Heat Index

53/100

Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 95030.

Flippability Score

85/100

Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.

Bidding War Prob.

11%

Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.

Proforma ROI Calculator

Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.

Median of 12 recent single-family sales in Los Gatos (95030): $1,444/sqft. Sized within 25% of the 3,000 sqft build, because smaller houses sell for more per foot and pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.

Carry on total capital for the project duration. At 0% the model is a cash purchase; 12 months at a typical construction-loan rate moves ROI by 6 to 10 points on a deal this size, so price it with your real rate.

Hard Costs$1,650,000
New Build3,000 sqft
Total Capital Required$3,775,000
Estimated Resale (ARV)$4,332,000
Cost of Sale (5%)-$216,600
Net Proceeds$4,115,400

Projected Profit

$340,400
9.0% ROI

Warning: Margin is tight for the construction risk.

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