$1,998,000
3851 Blackford Ave, San Jose 95117
AddressIntel AI Briefing
High lot coverage and the lack of SB 9 eligibility block any density expansion on this property. While a high-end cosmetic renovation is possible, the narrow spread between purchase price and size-matched ARV leaves very little margin. Developers are exposed to high downside risk in this scenario.
Property Permit History
Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (San Jose)
Parcel & Zoning Info
Hazard Snapshot
Flood Zone
Fire Severity
Liquefaction
Fault Zone
Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities.
Nearby Public Schools
Lynhaven Elementary
Campbell Union
Monroe Middle
Campbell Union
Boynton High
Campbell Union High
School boundaries are subject to change. Nearest school distance does not guarantee enrollment eligibility. Check with the local district. Data provided by CDE.
Proprietary Intelligence
Market Heat Index
77/100
Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 95117.
Flippability Score
35/100
Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.
Bidding War Prob.
24%
Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.
Proforma ROI Calculator
Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.
Median of 12 recent multi-family sales in San Jose (95117): $648/sqft. No size-matched sales in San Jose, so this median mixes build sizes and reads high for a large rebuild.
Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.
Carry on total capital for the project duration. At 0% the model is a cash purchase; 12 months at a typical construction-loan rate moves ROI by 6 to 10 points on a deal this size, so price it with your real rate.
Projected Profit
Warning: Project is mathematically underwater.
Recent Comparables (San Jose 95117)
No size-matched sales in San Jose, so these are unmatched on size and the ARV below is a loose estimate.