$1,125,000
502 Ellicott Loop, San Jose 95123
AddressIntel AI Briefing
Built recently in 2016, this high-density townhome is priced right at market value. This property serves as a pure residential investment play, offering strong cash flow potential with an estimated rent of $4,510/month. The high-density layout and liquefaction risks make any single-family development attempts impossible.
Property Permit History
Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (San Jose)
Parcel & Zoning Info
Condo Investment Snapshot
Price positioning vs. 219 recent comparable condo/townhome sales in this ZIP. Est. rent is a rule-of-thumb (price ÷ 24 ÷ 12), not a market quote. SB 9 / ADU development analysis doesn't apply to condos: the owner doesn't control the underlying land.
Seller Motivation
Inferred from days on market and listing-description language (e.g. "as-is", "estate sale", "motivated seller"). A screening heuristic for likely negotiability, not a statement about the seller's circumstances.
Hazard Snapshot
Flood Zone
Fire Severity
Liquefaction
Fault Zone
Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities. Liquefaction and fault flags: modified from California Geological Survey, Web Service of Official Maps of Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones and Web Service of Official Maps of Seismic Hazard Zones (2025).
Nearby Public Schools
Anderson (Alex) Elementary
Oak Grove Elementary
Davis (Caroline) Intermediate
Oak Grove Elementary
Oak Grove High
East Side Union High
School boundaries are subject to change. Nearest school distance does not guarantee enrollment eligibility. Check with the local district. Data provided by CDE.
Proprietary Intelligence
Market Heat Index
93/100
Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 95123.
Flippability Score
52/100
Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.
Bidding War Prob.
19%
Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.
Proforma ROI Calculator
Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.
Median of 12 recent townhome sales in San Jose (95123): $569/sqft, plus 5% because new houses sold at a median 1.07x their comps across 239 real rebuilds. Sized within 50% of the 3,300 sqft build, because smaller houses sell for more per foot and pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.
Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.
Interest on the purchase price for the whole project plus half the build budget, since construction draws ramp up. The default is 7% over 33 months, the median purchase-to-sale time of 239 real Peninsula and South Bay rebuilds. Set the rate to 0 for a cash purchase, or use your own lender's terms.
Projected Profit
Warning: Project is mathematically underwater.
Recent Comparables (San Jose 95123)
Sized to the modelled 3,300 sqft build: sales within 50% of it. Smaller houses sell for more per foot, so pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.