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ActiveSingle Family

$2,980,000

3839 Nathan Way, Palo Alto 94303

Beds3
Baths2
Sqft1,736
DOM12
No Photos Available

AddressIntel AI Briefing

While Palo Alto land values are highly lucrative, SB 9 is strictly blocked here by Special Flood Hazard Area and liquefaction constraints. The optimal development play is therefore a high-end remodel paired with stealth density: primary + ADU + JADU under ministerial ADU pathways. Elevated construction costs should be expected to address floodproofing and liquefaction-safe foundation engineering.

Property Permit History

DateProject TypeStatusValuationContractor
2024-10-04Finaled$12,675RENEWAL BY ANDERSEN OF SAN FRANCISCO
2021-12-17Finaled$14TIP TOP ROOFING SERVICES INC.

Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (Palo Alto)

2026-10-21 • 754 MATADERO AV, PALO ALTO CA 94306
Project - Building Permit
--Submitted
2026-10-21 • 180 EL CAMINO REAL, STE AA1070, PALO ALTO CA 94304
Project - Building Permit
--In Plan Check
2026-10-21 • 1590 MADRONO AV, PALO ALTO CA 94306
Building Addressing
--Under Review
2026-10-21 • 754 MATADERO AV, PALO ALTO CA 94306
Project - Building Permit
--Submitted
2026-10-21 • 180 EL CAMINO REAL, STE D87, PALO ALTO CA 94304
Revision-Building Permit
--In Plan Check
2026-10-21 • 176 WAVERLEY ST, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Project - Building Permit
--In Plan Check

Parcel & Zoning Info

APN12712014
Official Lot Sqft6,098
Zoning Code--
SB 9 StatusBlocked
SB 9 Block Reasons
FEMA Special Flood Hazard Area
Development Blockers
Flood Zone (SFHA) Liquefaction
Unlock Pathways
Ministerial ADU
Entitlement RiskModerate (21/100)

ADU Potential

Feasibility Score71/100
Max ADU Units2 (ADU + JADU)
Est. ADU Size1,200 sqft
Existing Coverage28.5%

Standard lot · Corner lot · ~66 ft frontage × 100 ft deep, typical proportions for a detached ADU behind or beside the home. A second street frontage lets an ADU take its own entrance and address.

Screening heuristic based on lot size, existing coverage, lot orientation, and hazard overlays. CA ADU law is ministerial statewide; verify max size, setbacks, and JADU owner-occupancy with the local planning dept.

Redevelopment Potential

Redevelopment Score40/100
ClassExpansion room
FAR Utilization67% of allowed
Buildable Headroom+843 sqft

Meaningful unused floor-area headroom under current zoning, room to add square footage. Zoning allows roughly 2,579 sqft of gross floor area on this lot.

Screening estimate comparing existing living area to the city's single-family floor-area limit. FAR rule curated from current municipal code. Source: PAMC 18.12.040 Table 2; max house size 6,000 sqft (as of 2026-06-30). Verify FAR, coverage, setbacks, and height with the local planning dept.

Hazard Snapshot

Flood Zone

AE
Special flood hazard area; insurance may be required.

Fire Severity

None
Not in a mapped state fire severity zone.

Liquefaction

Yes
In a mapped liquefaction zone. May require specialized foundation engineering.

Fault Zone

No
Not in a mapped Alquist-Priolo fault zone.

Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities. Liquefaction and fault flags: modified from California Geological Survey, Web Service of Official Maps of Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones and Web Service of Official Maps of Seismic Hazard Zones (2025).

Nearby Public Schools

Elementary School

Palo Verde Elementary

Palo Alto Unified

0.6 miles away
Middle School

Jane Lathrop Stanford Middle

Palo Alto Unified

0.8 miles away
High School

Henry M. Gunn High

Palo Alto Unified

2.3 miles away

School boundaries are subject to change. Nearest school distance does not guarantee enrollment eligibility. Check with the local district. Data provided by CDE.

Proprietary Intelligence

Market Heat Index

69/100

Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 94303.

Flippability Score

68/100

Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.

Bidding War Prob.

28%

Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.

Proforma ROI Calculator

Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.

Zoning allows roughly 2,579 sqft on this lot, and the default builds to that envelope. The FAR figure is a discretionary-review trigger, not a hard cap.

Median of 12 recent single-family sales in Palo Alto (94303): $2,019/sqft, plus 5% because new houses sold at a median 1.07x their comps across 239 real rebuilds. Sized within 25% of the 2,600 sqft build, because smaller houses sell for more per foot and pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.

Interest on the purchase price for the whole project plus half the build budget, since construction draws ramp up. The default is 7% over 33 months, the median purchase-to-sale time of 239 real Peninsula and South Bay rebuilds. Set the rate to 0 for a cash purchase, or use your own lender's terms.

Hard Costs$1,430,000
New Build2,600 sqft
Total Capital Required$4,585,000
Estimated Resale (ARV)$5,512,000
Cost of Sale (5%)-$275,600
Carry (33mo @ 7%)-$728,131
Net Proceeds$4,508,269

Projected Profit

-$76,731
-1.7% ROI

Warning: Project is mathematically underwater.

Recent Comparables (Palo Alto 94303)

Sized to the modelled 2,600 sqft build: sales within 25% of it. Smaller houses sell for more per foot, so pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

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