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ActiveTownhouse

$1,250,000

33 Northcrest Dr, South San Francisco 94080

Beds3
Baths2.5
Sqft2,050
DOM5
No Photos Available

AddressIntel AI Briefing

This property represents a strong low-risk investment due to its pricing below comparable neighborhood sales and healthy estimated rental yield. With a significant discount compared to the market average price per square foot, a cosmetic refresh will position it well for the rental market or a retail resale. Investors should target this unit as an individual cash-flow play within a highly stable, high-owner-occupancy block group.

Property Permit History

No permit history found directly associated with this property's address.

Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (South San Francisco)

2026-10-21 • 121 RAMONA AVE
Residential Building - Alteration
--Inspection
2026-10-21 • 718 PARK WAY
Building Permit Revision
--Closed
2026-10-20 • 144 COUNTRY CLUB DR
Residential Building - Alteration
--Inspection
2026-10-20 • 140 SAN FELIPE AVE
Sewer Lateral
--Inspection
2026-10-20 • 251 RAINIER AVE
Sewer Lateral
--Inspection
2026-10-19 • 717 SOUTHWOOD DR
Residential Building - Addition
--Inspection

Parcel & Zoning Info

APN007590090
Official Lot Sqft2,849
Zoning CodeNO DATA ASSIGNED
SB 9 StatusN/A

Condo Investment Snapshot

Value Score84/100
Price / Sqft$610 vs $733 mkt
Price vs Market-16.8% Below market
Est. Rent$4,340/mo

Price positioning vs. 673 recent comparable condo/townhome sales in this ZIP. Est. rent is a rule-of-thumb (price ÷ 24 ÷ 12), not a market quote. SB 9 / ADU development analysis doesn't apply to condos: the owner doesn't control the underlying land.

Hazard Snapshot

Flood Zone

X
Area of minimal flood hazard.

Fire Severity

Moderate
Elevated fire risk; impacts insurance cost and building materials.

Liquefaction

No
Not in a mapped liquefaction zone.

Fault Zone

No
Not in a mapped Alquist-Priolo fault zone.

Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities. Liquefaction and fault flags: modified from California Geological Survey, Web Service of Official Maps of Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones and Web Service of Official Maps of Seismic Hazard Zones (2025).

Nearby Public Schools

Elementary School

Martin Elementary

South San Francisco Unified

0.7 miles away
Middle School

Parkway Heights Middle

South San Francisco Unified

0.7 miles away
High School

El Camino High

South San Francisco Unified

1.3 miles away

School boundaries are subject to change. Nearest school distance does not guarantee enrollment eligibility. Check with the local district. Data provided by CDE.

Proprietary Intelligence

Market Heat Index

79/100

Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 94080.

Flippability Score

75/100

Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.

Bidding War Prob.

64%

Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.

Proforma ROI Calculator

Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.

Median of 12 recent townhome sales in South San Francisco (94080): $766/sqft, plus 5% because new houses sold at a median 1.07x their comps across 239 real rebuilds. No size-matched sales in South San Francisco, so this median mixes build sizes and reads high for a large rebuild.

Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.

Interest on the purchase price for the whole project plus half the build budget, since construction draws ramp up. The default is 7% over 33 months, the median purchase-to-sale time of 239 real Peninsula and South Bay rebuilds. Set the rate to 0 for a cash purchase, or use your own lender's terms.

Hard Costs$1,705,000
New Build3,100 sqft
Total Capital Required$3,130,000
Estimated Resale (ARV)$2,492,400
Cost of Sale (5%)-$124,620
Carry (33mo @ 7%)-$421,575
Net Proceeds$1,946,205

Projected Profit

-$1,183,795
-37.8% ROI

Warning: Project is mathematically underwater.

Recent Comparables (South San Francisco 94080)

No size-matched sales in South San Francisco, so these are unmatched on size and the ARV below is a loose estimate.

2712 Meath Dr

Sold
$850,000
Sold: 2026-10-14
Lot: -
Sqft: 1200
$/Sqft: $708

3779 Fairfax Way

Sold
$745,000
Sold: 2026-09-17
Lot: 1,289
Sqft: 858
$/Sqft: $868

848 Stonegate Dr

Sold
$920,000
Sold: 2026-09-03
Lot: -
Sqft: 1454
$/Sqft: $633

2625 Duhallow Way

Sold
$825,000
Sold: 2026-08-07
Lot: 1,291
Sqft: 1040
$/Sqft: $793

823 Stonegate Dr

Sold
$824,000
Sold: 2026-07-24
Lot: 1,811
Sqft: 1060
$/Sqft: $777

627 Stonegate Dr

Sold
$800,000
Sold: 2026-07-01
Lot: 1,329
Sqft: 1336
$/Sqft: $599

3878 Radburn Dr

Sold
$719,888
Sold: 2026-01-02
Lot: -
Sqft: 858
$/Sqft: $839

3639 Erris Ct

Sold
$825,000
Sold: 2025-11-26
Lot: -
Sqft: 1040
$/Sqft: $793

829 Stonegate Dr

Sold
$800,000
Sold: 2025-11-19
Lot: -
Sqft: 1060
$/Sqft: $755

2779 Duhallow Way

Sold
$825,000
Sold: 2025-11-04
Lot: -
Sqft: 1040
$/Sqft: $793

43 Appian Way Unit B

Sold
$870,000
Sold: 2025-10-17
Lot: 210,695
Sqft: 1197
$/Sqft: $727

1231 Isabelle Cir

Sold
$1,015,000
Sold: 2025-10-06
Lot: 624
Sqft: 1460
$/Sqft: $695