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Activemulti_family

$2,100,000

646 Bolton Ct, San Jose 95129

Beds9
Baths5
Sqft3,840
DOM144
No Photos Available

AddressIntel AI Briefing

A teardown spec build is highly unprofitable given the steep initial asking price and low size-matched resale basis of $605/sqft. The optimal play is a standard remodel and flip of the existing structure, though the listing already indicates updated status. SB 9 density options are not applicable, limiting further development upside.

Property Permit History

No permit history found directly associated with this property's address.

Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (San Jose)

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--Active
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$143,135Active
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$10,234Active

Parcel & Zoning Info

APN--
Official Lot Sqft--
Zoning Code--
SB 9 StatusN/A

Seller Motivation

Motivation Score30/100
Some motivation
90+ days on market

Inferred from days on market and listing-description language (e.g. "as-is", "estate sale", "motivated seller"). A screening heuristic for likely negotiability, not a statement about the seller's circumstances.

Hazard Snapshot

Flood Zone

D
Special flood hazard area; insurance may be required.

Fire Severity

None
Not in a mapped state fire severity zone.

Liquefaction

No
Not in a mapped liquefaction zone.

Fault Zone

No
Not in a mapped Alquist-Priolo fault zone.

Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities. Liquefaction and fault flags: modified from California Geological Survey, Web Service of Official Maps of Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones and Web Service of Official Maps of Seismic Hazard Zones (2025).

Nearby Public Schools

Elementary School

Manuel De Vargas Elementary

Cupertino Union

0.7 miles away
Middle School

Warren E. Hyde Middle

Cupertino Union

1.8 miles away
High School

Boynton High

Campbell Union High

0.7 miles away

School boundaries are subject to change. Nearest school distance does not guarantee enrollment eligibility. Check with the local district. Data provided by CDE.

Proprietary Intelligence

Market Heat Index

70/100

Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 95129.

Flippability Score

20/100

Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.

Bidding War Prob.

1%

Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.

Proforma ROI Calculator

Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.

Median of 12 recent multi-family sales in San Jose (95129): $601/sqft, plus 5% because new houses sold at a median 1.07x their comps across 239 real rebuilds. Sized within 50% of the 5,800 sqft build, because smaller houses sell for more per foot and pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.

Interest on the purchase price for the whole project plus half the build budget, since construction draws ramp up. The default is 7% over 33 months, the median purchase-to-sale time of 239 real Peninsula and South Bay rebuilds. Set the rate to 0 for a cash purchase, or use your own lender's terms.

Hard Costs$3,190,000
New Build5,800 sqft
Total Capital Required$5,465,000
Estimated Resale (ARV)$3,659,800
Cost of Sale (5%)-$182,990
Carry (33mo @ 7%)-$728,131
Net Proceeds$2,748,679

Projected Profit

-$2,716,321
-49.7% ROI

Warning: Project is mathematically underwater.

Recent Comparables (San Jose 95129)

Sized to the modelled 5,800 sqft build: sales within 50% of it. Smaller houses sell for more per foot, so pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

240 Richfield Dr

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1577 Maurice Ln

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380 Richfield Dr

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477 Greendale Way

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7240 Bark Ln Apt 1

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$/Sqft: $740

1281 Saratoga Ave

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$2,125,000
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