$1,499,999
15565 Armsby Ln, Morgan Hill 95037
AddressIntel AI Briefing
A massive rural lot representing a premier teardown-and-mansionize play. The existing house can be fully replaced by a customized luxury compound with extensive outdoor amenities. Wildfire risk and septic upgrades are the primary planning blockers to monitor.
Property Permit History
Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (Morgan Hill)
Parcel & Zoning Info
ADU Potential
Flag / irregular · Corner lot · ~403 ft frontage × 573 ft deep, a tucked-away rear unit is very private; access is typically via the pole driveway. A second street frontage lets an ADU take its own entrance and address.
Screening heuristic based on lot size, existing coverage, lot orientation, and hazard overlays. CA ADU law is ministerial statewide; verify max size, setbacks, and JADU owner-occupancy with the local planning dept.
Seller Motivation
Inferred from days on market and listing-description language (e.g. "as-is", "estate sale", "motivated seller"). A screening heuristic for likely negotiability, not a statement about the seller's circumstances.
Hazard Snapshot
Flood Zone
Fire Severity
Liquefaction
Fault Zone
Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities. Liquefaction and fault flags: modified from California Geological Survey, Web Service of Official Maps of Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones and Web Service of Official Maps of Seismic Hazard Zones (2025).
Nearby Public Schools
Paradise Valley Engineering Academy
Morgan Hill Unified
Lewis H. Britton Middle
Morgan Hill Unified
Central High (Continuation)
Morgan Hill Unified
School boundaries are subject to change. Nearest school distance does not guarantee enrollment eligibility. Check with the local district. Data provided by CDE.
Proprietary Intelligence
Market Heat Index
87/100
Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 95037.
Flippability Score
65/100
Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.
Bidding War Prob.
1%
Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.
Proforma ROI Calculator
Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.
Median of 12 recent single-family sales in Morgan Hill (95037): $573/sqft, plus 5% because new houses sold at a median 1.07x their comps across 239 real rebuilds. Sized within 25% of the 4,200 sqft build, because smaller houses sell for more per foot and pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.
Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.
Interest on the purchase price for the whole project plus half the build budget, since construction draws ramp up. The default is 7% over 33 months, the median purchase-to-sale time of 239 real Peninsula and South Bay rebuilds. Set the rate to 0 for a cash purchase, or use your own lender's terms.
Projected Profit
Warning: Project is mathematically underwater.
Recent Comparables (Morgan Hill 95037)
Sized to the modelled 4,200 sqft build: sales within 25% of it. Smaller houses sell for more per foot, so pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.