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ActiveCondo

$1,199,800

153 N San Mateo Dr Apt 201, San Mateo 94401

Beds2
Baths2
Sqft1,577
DOM62
No Photos Available

AddressIntel AI Briefing

This condominium unit represents a challenging acquisition as its asking price sits above the immediate market average. Given the low owner-occupancy rate in the census block, focusing on steady rental yield rather than a quick resale is the most realistic investment path.

Property Permit History

No permit history found directly associated with this property's address.

Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (San Mateo)

2026-10-20 • 308 42ND AVE SAN MATEO CA 94403-5004
Single Family (Addition) - Add/Alter - Add/Alter
$234,243Issued
2026-10-20 • 416 FAIRFAX AVE SAN MATEO 94402-2210 CA
Single Family (Alteration/Repair) - Alter - Alter
$7,500Issued
2026-10-19 • 1464 WOODBERRY AVE SAN MATEO 94403-3765 CA
Single Family (Alteration/Repair) - Kitchen & Bath Remodel (Flat) - Kitchen & Bath Remodel (Flat)
$30,000Issued
2026-10-19 • 723 COSTA RICA AVE SAN MATEO 94402-1014 CA
Single Family (New) - New - New
$197,500Issued
2026-10-18 • 2630 ALAMEDA DE LAS PULGAS SAN MATEO 94403-2652 CA
Single Family (Addition) - Add/Alter - Add/Alter
$285,704Issued
2026-10-17 • 3513 CASANOVA DR SAN MATEO 94403-2908 CA
Single Family (Alteration/Repair) - Alter - Alter
$15,815Under Review

Parcel & Zoning Info

APN103630010
Official Lot Sqft2,489
Zoning CodeNO DATA ASSIGNED
SB 9 StatusN/A

Condo Investment Snapshot

Value Score40/100
Price / Sqft$761 vs $726 mkt
Price vs Market+4.8% At market
Est. Rent$4,166/mo

Price positioning vs. 202 recent comparable condo/townhome sales in this ZIP. Est. rent is a rule-of-thumb (price ÷ 24 ÷ 12), not a market quote. SB 9 / ADU development analysis doesn't apply to condos: the owner doesn't control the underlying land.

Seller Motivation

Motivation Score20/100
Low motivation
60+ days on market

Inferred from days on market and listing-description language (e.g. "as-is", "estate sale", "motivated seller"). A screening heuristic for likely negotiability, not a statement about the seller's circumstances.

Hazard Snapshot

Flood Zone

X
Area of minimal flood hazard.

Fire Severity

None
Not in a mapped state fire severity zone.

Liquefaction

Yes
In a mapped liquefaction zone. May require specialized foundation engineering.

Fault Zone

No
Not in a mapped Alquist-Priolo fault zone.

Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities. Liquefaction and fault flags: modified from California Geological Survey, Web Service of Official Maps of Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones and Web Service of Official Maps of Seismic Hazard Zones (2025).

Nearby Public Schools

Elementary School

College Park Elementary

San Mateo-Foster City

0.5 miles away
Middle School

Borel Middle

San Mateo-Foster City

1.4 miles away
High School

San Mateo High

San Mateo Union High

0.5 miles away

School boundaries are subject to change. Nearest school distance does not guarantee enrollment eligibility. Check with the local district. Data provided by CDE.

Proprietary Intelligence

Market Heat Index

66/100

Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 94401.

Flippability Score

25/100

Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.

Bidding War Prob.

42%

Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.

Proforma ROI Calculator

Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.

Median of 7 recent condo sales in San Mateo (94401): $807/sqft, plus 5% because new houses sold at a median 1.07x their comps across 239 real rebuilds. Sized within 25% of the 2,400 sqft build, because smaller houses sell for more per foot and pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.

Interest on the purchase price for the whole project plus half the build budget, since construction draws ramp up. The default is 7% over 33 months, the median purchase-to-sale time of 239 real Peninsula and South Bay rebuilds. Set the rate to 0 for a cash purchase, or use your own lender's terms.

Hard Costs$1,320,000
New Build2,400 sqft
Total Capital Required$2,694,800
Estimated Resale (ARV)$2,032,800
Cost of Sale (5%)-$101,640
Carry (33mo @ 7%)-$374,855
Net Proceeds$1,556,305

Projected Profit

-$1,138,495
-42.2% ROI

Warning: Project is mathematically underwater.

Recent Comparables (San Mateo 94401)

Sized to the modelled 2,400 sqft build: sales within 25% of it. Smaller houses sell for more per foot, so pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

35 9th Ave Apt 11

Sold
$1,350,000
Sold: 2026-07-02
Lot: -
Sqft: 1802
$/Sqft: $749

555 Laurel Ave Apt 614

Sold
$2,500,000
Sold: 2026-05-29
Lot: 92,393
Sqft: 2510
$/Sqft: $996

555 Laurel Ave Apt 210

Sold
$1,850,000
Sold: 2025-11-20
Lot: 92,393
Sqft: 1959
$/Sqft: $944

320 Elm St Apt 111

Sold
$1,125,000
Sold: 2025-11-20
Lot: -
Sqft: 1993
$/Sqft: $564

222 6th Ave Ste 302

Sold
$2,000,000
Sold: 2025-09-02
Lot: 12,806
Sqft: 2477
$/Sqft: $807

10 9th Ave Apt 303

Sold
$1,350,000
Sold: 2025-07-14
Lot: -
Sqft: 1881
$/Sqft: $718

222 8th Ave Apt 310

Sold
$1,800,000
Sold: 2025-05-09
Lot: -
Sqft: 2051
$/Sqft: $878