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Activesingle_family

$2,999,000

5000 Birkdale Way, San Jose 95138

Beds4
Baths3.5
Sqft2,919
DOM50
No Photos Available

AddressIntel AI Briefing

Good comp ceiling suggests some potential, though landslide zoning dampens the score. Structural testing is mandatory before pursuing a comprehensive remodel.

Property Permit History

No permit history found directly associated with this property's address.

Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (San Jose)

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Parcel & Zoning Info

APN--
Official Lot Sqft9,148
Zoning Code--
SB 9 StatusLikely · up to 4 units
SB 9 Block Reasons No SB 9 disqualifiers found
Development Blockers
High Fire Zone Landslide
Unlock Pathways
Ministerial ADU Ministerial SB 9 Density Bonus AB 1033 (sell ADU as condo)
Entitlement RiskLow (6/100)

ADU Potential

Feasibility Score86/100
Max ADU Units2 (ADU + JADU)
Est. ADU Size1,200 sqft
Existing Coverage31.9%

Flag / irregular · Corner lot · ~120 ft frontage × 150 ft deep, a tucked-away rear unit is very private; access is typically via the pole driveway. A second street frontage lets an ADU take its own entrance and address.

Screening heuristic based on lot size, existing coverage, lot orientation, and hazard overlays. CA ADU law is ministerial statewide; verify max size, setbacks, and JADU owner-occupancy with the local planning dept.

Seller Motivation

Motivation Score12/100
Low motivation
45+ days on market

Inferred from days on market and listing-description language (e.g. "as-is", "estate sale", "motivated seller"). A screening heuristic for likely negotiability, not a statement about the seller's circumstances.

Redevelopment Potential

Redevelopment Score38/100
ClassExpansion room
FAR Utilization71% of allowed
Buildable Headroom+1,198 sqft

Meaningful unused floor-area headroom under current zoning, room to add square footage. Zoning allows roughly 4,117 sqft of gross floor area on this lot.

Screening estimate comparing existing living area to the city's single-family floor-area limit. FAR figure is a discretionary-review trigger, not a hard cap. Treat as approximate. Source: SJMC 20.30.200; 20.100.1020 (Single-Family House Permit) (as of 2026-06-30). Verify FAR, coverage, setbacks, and height with the local planning dept.

Hazard Snapshot

Flood Zone

D
Special flood hazard area; insurance may be required.

Fire Severity

High
Elevated fire risk; impacts insurance cost and building materials.

Liquefaction

No
Not in a mapped liquefaction zone.

Fault Zone

No
Not in a mapped Alquist-Priolo fault zone.

Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities. Liquefaction and fault flags: modified from California Geological Survey, Web Service of Official Maps of Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones and Web Service of Official Maps of Seismic Hazard Zones (2025).

Nearby Public Schools

Elementary School

Silver Oak Elementary

Evergreen Elementary

1.0 miles away
Middle School

Chaboya Middle

Evergreen Elementary

2.2 miles away
High School

Silver Creek High

East Side Union High

2.1 miles away

School boundaries are subject to change. Nearest school distance does not guarantee enrollment eligibility. Check with the local district. Data provided by CDE.

Proprietary Intelligence

Market Heat Index

53/100

Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 95138.

Flippability Score

56/100

Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.

Bidding War Prob.

1%

Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.

Proforma ROI Calculator

Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.

Zoning allows roughly 4,117 sqft on this lot, and the default builds to that envelope. The FAR figure is a discretionary-review trigger, not a hard cap.

Median of 12 recent single-family sales in San Jose (95138): $1,081/sqft, plus 5% because new houses sold at a median 1.07x their comps across 239 real rebuilds. Sized within 25% of the 4,100 sqft build, because smaller houses sell for more per foot and pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.

Interest on the purchase price for the whole project plus half the build budget, since construction draws ramp up. The default is 7% over 33 months, the median purchase-to-sale time of 239 real Peninsula and South Bay rebuilds. Set the rate to 0 for a cash purchase, or use your own lender's terms.

Hard Costs$2,255,000
New Build4,100 sqft
Total Capital Required$5,429,000
Estimated Resale (ARV)$4,653,500
Cost of Sale (5%)-$232,675
Carry (33mo @ 7%)-$811,195
Net Proceeds$3,609,630

Projected Profit

-$1,819,370
-33.5% ROI

Warning: Project is mathematically underwater.

Recent Comparables (San Jose 95138)

Sized to the modelled 4,100 sqft build: sales within 25% of it. Smaller houses sell for more per foot, so pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

5598 Snowdon Pl

Sold
$3,040,000
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$/Sqft: $978

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2566 Bentley Ridge Dr

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5379 Vicenza Way

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6035 Assisi Ct

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