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ActiveSingle Family

$2,998,000

2611 Barclay Way, Belmont 94002

Beds3
Baths3
Sqft2,680
DOM3
No Photos Available

AddressIntel AI Briefing

The best potential play on this hillside property is stealth density: primary + ADU + JADU to expand the footprint safely. However, the presence of a landslide hazard zone acts as a substantial blocker, requiring comprehensive soil stability testing and advanced foundation designs.

Property Permit History

No permit history found directly associated with this property's address.

Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (Belmont)

2026-08-211520 DESVIO WAY
ALTERATION - WINDOWS
--ACTIVE
2026-08-192486 HALLMARK DR
ALTERATION - ALTERATION
--ACTIVE
2026-08-173313 HASKINS DR
ALTERATION - DECK
--IN REVIEW
2026-08-142037 BELLE MONTI AVE
ALTERATION - ALTERATION
--IN REVIEW
2026-08-141039 CONTINENTALS WAY
ALTERATION - ALTERATION
--APPROVED
2026-08-141039 CONTINENTALS WAY
ALTERATION - ALTERATION
--APPROVED

Parcel & Zoning Info

APN043311100
Official Lot Sqft9,384
Zoning CodeNO DATA ASSIGNED
SB 9 StatusLikely · up to 4 units
SB 9 Block Reasons No SB 9 disqualifiers found
Development Blockers
Landslide
Unlock Pathways
Ministerial ADU Ministerial SB 9 Density Bonus
Entitlement RiskLow (0/100)

ADU Potential

Feasibility Score84/100
Max ADU Units2 (ADU + JADU)
Est. ADU Size1,200 sqft
Existing Coverage28.6%

Flag / irregular · ~89 ft frontage × 180 ft deep, a tucked-away rear unit is very private; access is typically via the pole driveway.

Screening heuristic based on lot size, existing coverage, lot orientation, and hazard overlays. CA ADU law is ministerial statewide; verify max size, setbacks, and JADU owner-occupancy with the local planning dept.

Redevelopment Potential

Redevelopment Score48/100
ClassExpansion room
FAR Utilization71% of allowed
Buildable Headroom+1,073 sqft

Meaningful unused floor-area headroom under current zoning, room to add square footage. Zoning allows roughly 3,753 sqft of gross floor area on this lot.

Screening estimate comparing existing living area to the city's single-family floor-area limit. City sets no explicit FAR (or is not individually curated); allowable area is a conservative estimate. Source: conservative default (0.40 FAR — city not individually curated) (as of 2026-06-30). Verify FAR, coverage, setbacks, and height with the local planning dept.

Hazard Snapshot

Flood Zone

X
Area of minimal flood hazard.

Fire Severity

None
Not in a mapped state fire severity zone.

Liquefaction

No
Not in a mapped liquefaction zone.

Fault Zone

No
Not in a mapped Alquist-Priolo fault zone.

Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities.

Nearby Public Schools

Elementary School

Cipriani Elementary

Belmont-Redwood Shores Elementary

0.1 miles away
Middle School

Ralston Intermediate

Belmont-Redwood Shores Elementary

0.5 miles away
High School

Hillsdale High

San Mateo Union High

1.0 miles away

School boundaries are subject to change. Nearest school distance does not guarantee enrollment eligibility. Check with the local district. Data provided by CDE.

Proprietary Intelligence

Market Heat Index

67/100

Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 94002.

Flippability Score

45/100

Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.

Bidding War Prob.

39%

Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.

Proforma ROI Calculator

Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.

We don't hold this jurisdiction's floor-area rule, so the default builds to roughly 3,753 sqft from a conservative 0.40 FAR approximation — a starting point, not a zoning answer. Check the local code before you rely on it.

Median of 12 recent single-family sales in Belmont (94002): $1,099/sqft. Sized within 25% of the 3,800 sqft build, because smaller houses sell for more per foot and pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.

Carry on total capital for the project duration. At 0% the model is a cash purchase; 12 months at a typical construction-loan rate moves ROI by 6 to 10 points on a deal this size, so price it with your real rate.

Hard Costs$2,090,000
New Build3,800 sqft
Total Capital Required$5,263,000
Estimated Resale (ARV)$4,176,200
Cost of Sale (5%)-$208,810
Net Proceeds$3,967,390

Projected Profit

-$1,295,610
-24.6% ROI

Warning: Project is mathematically underwater.

Recent Comparables (Belmont 94002)

Sized to the modelled 3,800 sqft build: sales within 25% of it. Smaller houses sell for more per foot, so pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

2706 Belmont Canyon Rd

Sold
$3,300,000
Sold: 2026-08-21
Lot: 13,318
Sqft: 3270
$/Sqft: $1,009

2740 Comstock Cir

Sold
$4,200,000
Sold: 2026-07-01
Lot: 9,341
Sqft: 2970
$/Sqft: $1,414

2009 Bishop Rd

Sold
$5,600,000
Sold: 2026-06-22
Lot: 29,098
Sqft: 4000
$/Sqft: $1,400

2741 Waltham Cross St

Sold
$4,250,000
Sold: 2026-06-11
Lot: 10,269
Sqft: 3427
$/Sqft: $1,240

1336 Academy Ct

Sold
$3,750,000
Sold: 2026-06-03
Lot: 9,123
Sqft: 3190
$/Sqft: $1,176

2506 Ralston Ave

Sold
$2,950,000
Sold: 2026-05-21
Lot: 9,408
Sqft: 3040
$/Sqft: $970

2741 Belmont Canyon Rd

Sold
$4,150,000
Sold: 2026-04-03
Lot: 12,609
Sqft: 3070
$/Sqft: $1,352

2926 Belmont Woods Way

Sold
$2,800,000
Sold: 2025-12-29
Lot: 3,592
Sqft: 2850
$/Sqft: $982

2728 Sequoia Way

Sold
$3,325,000
Sold: 2025-12-18
Lot: 31,450
Sqft: 3250
$/Sqft: $1,023

1597 Molitor Rd

Sold
$2,580,000
Sold: 2025-11-24
Lot: 6,400
Sqft: 3910
$/Sqft: $660

905 South Rd

Sold
$3,650,000
Sold: 2025-11-05
Lot: 10,999
Sqft: 3740
$/Sqft: $976

1308 Sunnyslope Ave

Sold
$3,750,000
Sold: 2025-10-23
Lot: 6,142
Sqft: 3124
$/Sqft: $1,200