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Activesingle_family

$3,649,000

24106 Deerpath Rd, Saratoga 95070

Beds5
Baths3.5
Sqft6,000
DOM146
No Photos Available

AddressIntel AI Briefing

Saratoga mansion candidate priced well below its potential $9.1M ARV. Landslide and fire hazard mitigations are required, but the substantial spread leaves plenty of room for engineering fees.

Property Permit History

No permit history found directly associated with this property's address.

Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (Saratoga)

2026-10-21 • 14590 Horseshoe Dr
Replacement of existing 200A m...
$6,000Issued
2026-10-20 • 20800 4th St #10
upgrade existing sub panel to ...
$2,500Issued
2026-10-20 • 12540 Scully Ave
(R) (E)roof and install comp s...
$38,663Issued
2026-10-20 • 15201 Sobey Rd
Sewer line renovation, Clean o...
$22,500Issued
2026-10-20 • 18613 Devon Ave
temp power pole, 100A, overhea...
$200Issued
2026-10-20 • 20084 Chateau Dr
Temp power, 100a, overhead
$200Issued

Parcel & Zoning Info

APNSanta Clara County Coming Soon
Official Lot Sqft251,341
Zoning CodeHS
SB 9 StatusBlocked
SB 9 Block Reasons
Very High Fire Severity Zone Prime Farmland
Development Blockers
Very High Fire Zone Prime Farmland Landslide
Unlock Pathways
Ministerial ADU
Entitlement RiskModerate (48/100)

ADU Potential

Feasibility Score87/100
Max ADU Units2 (ADU + JADU)
Est. ADU Size1,200 sqft
Existing Coverage2.4%

Flag / irregular · Corner lot · ~540 ft frontage × 801 ft deep, a tucked-away rear unit is very private; access is typically via the pole driveway. A second street frontage lets an ADU take its own entrance and address.

Screening heuristic based on lot size, existing coverage, lot orientation, and hazard overlays. CA ADU law is ministerial statewide; verify max size, setbacks, and JADU owner-occupancy with the local planning dept.

Seller Motivation

Motivation Score30/100
Some motivation
90+ days on market

Inferred from days on market and listing-description language (e.g. "as-is", "estate sale", "motivated seller"). A screening heuristic for likely negotiability, not a statement about the seller's circumstances.

Hazard Snapshot

Flood Zone

D
Special flood hazard area; insurance may be required.

Fire Severity

Very High
Elevated fire risk; impacts insurance cost and building materials.

Liquefaction

No
Not in a mapped liquefaction zone.

Fault Zone

No
Not in a mapped Alquist-Priolo fault zone.

Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities. Liquefaction and fault flags: modified from California Geological Survey, Web Service of Official Maps of Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones and Web Service of Official Maps of Seismic Hazard Zones (2025).

Nearby Public Schools

Elementary School

Saratoga Elementary

Saratoga Union Elementary

3.1 miles away
Middle School

Redwood Middle

Saratoga Union Elementary

4.2 miles away
High School

Saratoga High

Los Gatos-Saratoga Union High

3.4 miles away

School boundaries are subject to change. Nearest school distance does not guarantee enrollment eligibility. Check with the local district. Data provided by CDE.

Proprietary Intelligence

Market Heat Index

66/100

Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 95070.

Flippability Score

74/100

Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.

Bidding War Prob.

1%

Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.

Proforma ROI Calculator

Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.

Median of 12 recent single-family sales in Saratoga (95070): $1,459/sqft, plus 5% because new houses sold at a median 1.07x their comps across 239 real rebuilds. Sized within 50% of the 9,000 sqft build, because smaller houses sell for more per foot and pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.

Interest on the purchase price for the whole project plus half the build budget, since construction draws ramp up. The default is 7% over 33 months, the median purchase-to-sale time of 239 real Peninsula and South Bay rebuilds. Set the rate to 0 for a cash purchase, or use your own lender's terms.

Hard Costs$4,950,000
New Build9,000 sqft
Total Capital Required$8,774,000
Estimated Resale (ARV)$13,788,000
Cost of Sale (5%)-$689,400
Carry (33mo @ 7%)-$1,195,714
Net Proceeds$11,902,886

Projected Profit

$3,128,886
35.7% ROI

Recent Comparables (Saratoga 95070)

Sized to the modelled 9,000 sqft build: sales within 50% of it. Smaller houses sell for more per foot, so pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

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14113 Pike Rd

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15050 Bonnie Brae Ln

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15015 Gypsy Hill Rd

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