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ActiveSingle Family

$4,198,000

3855 Magnolia Dr, Palo Alto 94306

Beds4
Baths3.5
Sqft2,701
DOM1
No Photos Available

AddressIntel AI Briefing

With the existing home built in 2004 already occupying a high percentage of the allowable floor area, a teardown is highly impractical. The optimal play is stealth density: primary + ADU + JADU, utilizing the strong ADU feasibility to generate additional rental income. This strategy preserves the valuable existing structure while unlocking incremental yield in a strong Palo Alto market.

Property Permit History

No permit history found directly associated with this property's address.

Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (Palo Alto)

2026-08-2126 ERSTWILD CT, PALO ALTO CA 94303
Project - Building Permit
--Submitted
2026-08-213200 MORRIS DR, PALO ALTO CA 94303
Project - Building Permit
--Submitted
2026-08-21525 CENTER DR, UNIT A, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Revision-Building Permit
--In Plan Check
2026-08-211310 BRYANT ST, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Revision-Building Permit
--In Plan Check
2026-08-213355 WAVERLEY ST, PALO ALTO CA 94306
Kitchen and/or Bath Remodel: Within existing footprint, non-structural changes are allowed (detached single-family and duplex only)
--Permit Issued
2026-08-213524 LOUIS RD, PALO ALTO CA 94303
Building Addressing
--Under Review

Parcel & Zoning Info

APN13712060
Official Lot Sqft7,405
Zoning Code--
SB 9 StatusLikely · up to 4 units
Unlock Pathways
Ministerial ADU Ministerial SB 9 Density Bonus
Entitlement RiskLow (0/100)

ADU Potential

Feasibility Score84/100
Max ADU Units2 (ADU + JADU)
Est. ADU Size1,200 sqft
Existing Coverage36.5%

Flag / irregular · Corner lot · ~123 ft frontage × 134 ft deep, a tucked-away rear unit is very private; access is typically via the pole driveway. A second street frontage lets an ADU take its own entrance and address.

Screening heuristic based on lot size, existing coverage, lot orientation, and hazard overlays. CA ADU law is ministerial statewide; verify max size, setbacks, and JADU owner-occupancy with the local planning dept.

Redevelopment Potential

Redevelopment Score15/100
ClassBuilt out
FAR Utilization91% of allowed
Buildable Headroom+271 sqft

Existing home already uses most of the allowable floor area, little expansion headroom. Zoning allows roughly 2,972 sqft of gross floor area on this lot.

Screening estimate comparing existing living area to the city's single-family floor-area limit. FAR rule curated from current municipal code. Source: PAMC 18.12.040 Table 2; max house size 6,000 sqft (as of 2026-06-30). Verify FAR, coverage, setbacks, and height with the local planning dept.

Hazard Snapshot

Flood Zone

X
Area of minimal flood hazard.

Fire Severity

None
Not in a mapped state fire severity zone.

Liquefaction

No
Not in a mapped liquefaction zone.

Fault Zone

No
Not in a mapped Alquist-Priolo fault zone.

Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities.

Nearby Public Schools

Elementary School

Barron Park Elementary

Palo Alto Unified

0.3 miles away
Middle School

Jane Lathrop Stanford Middle

Palo Alto Unified

0.9 miles away
High School

Henry M. Gunn High

Palo Alto Unified

1.0 miles away

School boundaries are subject to change. Nearest school distance does not guarantee enrollment eligibility. Check with the local district. Data provided by CDE.

Proprietary Intelligence

Market Heat Index

72/100

Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 94306.

Flippability Score

40/100

Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.

Bidding War Prob.

55%

Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.

Proforma ROI Calculator

Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.

Zoning allows roughly 2,972 sqft on this lot, and the default builds to that envelope. The FAR figure is a discretionary-review trigger, not a hard cap.

Median of 12 recent single-family sales in Palo Alto (94306): $1,827/sqft. Sized within 25% of the 3,000 sqft build, because smaller houses sell for more per foot and pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.

Carry on total capital for the project duration. At 0% the model is a cash purchase; 12 months at a typical construction-loan rate moves ROI by 6 to 10 points on a deal this size, so price it with your real rate.

Hard Costs$1,650,000
New Build3,000 sqft
Total Capital Required$6,023,000
Estimated Resale (ARV)$5,481,000
Cost of Sale (5%)-$274,050
Net Proceeds$5,206,950

Projected Profit

-$816,050
-13.5% ROI

Warning: Project is mathematically underwater.

Recent Comparables (Palo Alto 94306)

Sized to the modelled 3,000 sqft build: sales within 25% of it. Smaller houses sell for more per foot, so pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

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