Back to Search
ActiveTownhouse

$799,000

18041 Hillwood Ln, Morgan Hill 95037

Beds2
Baths2.5
Sqft1,692
DOM68
No Photos Available

AddressIntel AI Briefing

This townhouse property offers a solid entry-level investment with stable rental demand and predictable yields. It should be treated strictly as a buy-and-hold or minor cosmetic refresh project, with no expansion or density plays considered.

Property Permit History

No permit history found directly associated with this property's address.

Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (Morgan Hill)

Parcel & Zoning Info

APN76446029
Official Lot Sqft436
Zoning Code--
SB 9 StatusN/A

Condo Investment Snapshot

Value Score63/100
Price / Sqft$472 vs $504 mkt
Price vs Market-6.3% At market
Est. Rent$2,774/mo

Price positioning vs. 952 recent comparable condo/townhome sales in this ZIP. Est. rent is a rule-of-thumb (price ÷ 24 ÷ 12), not a market quote. SB 9 / ADU development analysis doesn't apply to condos: the owner doesn't control the underlying land.

Seller Motivation

Motivation Score20/100
Low motivation
60+ days on market

Inferred from days on market and listing-description language (e.g. "as-is", "estate sale", "motivated seller"). A screening heuristic for likely negotiability, not a statement about the seller's circumstances.

Hazard Snapshot

Flood Zone

X
Area of minimal flood hazard.

Fire Severity

High
Elevated fire risk; impacts insurance cost and building materials.

Liquefaction

No
Not in a mapped liquefaction zone.

Fault Zone

No
Not in a mapped Alquist-Priolo fault zone.

Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities. Liquefaction and fault flags: modified from California Geological Survey, Web Service of Official Maps of Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones and Web Service of Official Maps of Seismic Hazard Zones (2025).

Nearby Public Schools

Elementary School

P. A. Walsh STEAM Academy

Morgan Hill Unified

0.5 miles away
Middle School

Lewis H. Britton Middle

Morgan Hill Unified

0.5 miles away
High School

Central High (Continuation)

Morgan Hill Unified

1.5 miles away

School boundaries are subject to change. Nearest school distance does not guarantee enrollment eligibility. Check with the local district. Data provided by CDE.

Proprietary Intelligence

Market Heat Index

87/100

Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 95037.

Flippability Score

55/100

Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.

Bidding War Prob.

1%

Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.

Proforma ROI Calculator

Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.

Median of 12 recent townhome sales in Morgan Hill (95037): $476/sqft, plus 5% because new houses sold at a median 1.07x their comps across 239 real rebuilds. Sized within 25% of the 2,500 sqft build, because smaller houses sell for more per foot and pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.

Interest on the purchase price for the whole project plus half the build budget, since construction draws ramp up. The default is 7% over 33 months, the median purchase-to-sale time of 239 real Peninsula and South Bay rebuilds. Set the rate to 0 for a cash purchase, or use your own lender's terms.

Hard Costs$1,375,000
New Build2,500 sqft
Total Capital Required$2,349,000
Estimated Resale (ARV)$1,250,000
Cost of Sale (5%)-$62,500
Carry (33mo @ 7%)-$302,995
Net Proceeds$884,505

Projected Profit

-$1,464,495
-62.3% ROI

Warning: Project is mathematically underwater.

Recent Comparables (Morgan Hill 95037)

Sized to the modelled 2,500 sqft build: sales within 25% of it. Smaller houses sell for more per foot, so pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

19621 Juniper Loop

Sold
$1,250,000
Sold: 2026-09-23
Lot: -
Sqft: 2425
$/Sqft: $515

18018 Monterey St

Sold
$925,000
Sold: 2026-09-16
Lot: 1,779
Sqft: 2086
$/Sqft: $443

18484 Azul Ln

Sold
$1,080,000
Sold: 2026-08-28
Lot: -
Sqft: 2270
$/Sqft: $476

19641 Juniper Loop

Sold
$1,043,777
Sold: 2026-06-29
Lot: -
Sqft: 2174
$/Sqft: $480

19629 Juniper Loop

Sold
$1,113,490
Sold: 2026-04-29
Lot: -
Sqft: 2174
$/Sqft: $512

18460 Azul Ln

Sold
$1,199,990
Sold: 2026-04-23
Lot: -
Sqft: 2338
$/Sqft: $513

18971 Chicory Ln

Sold
$1,237,000
Sold: 2026-04-09
Lot: 4,227
Sqft: 1986
$/Sqft: $623

18492 Azul Ln

Sold
$1,113,337
Sold: 2026-03-25
Lot: -
Sqft: 2338
$/Sqft: $476

19660 Juniper Loop

Sold
$999,000
Sold: 2026-02-19
Lot: -
Sqft: 2174
$/Sqft: $460

19637 Juniper Loop

Sold
$1,015,000
Sold: 2026-02-02
Lot: -
Sqft: 2174
$/Sqft: $467

189 E Dunne Ave

Sold
$1,027,567
Sold: 2026-01-16
Lot: -
Sqft: 2202
$/Sqft: $467

172 E Main Ave

Sold
$1,028,888
Sold: 2026-01-15
Lot: -
Sqft: 2404
$/Sqft: $428