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ActiveSingle Family

$6,750,000

15 Naranja Way, Portola Valley 94028

Beds4
Baths3
Sqft4,372
DOM55
No Photos Available

AddressIntel AI Briefing

The optimal play is teardown-and-mansionize to fully exploit the 2.6-acre footprint with an ultra-luxury new build. Rebuilding at this scale creates a highly marketable product tailored for high-net-worth buyers.

Property Permit History

No permit history found directly associated with this property's address.

Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (Portola Valley)

Parcel & Zoning Info

APN077021060
Official Lot Sqft114,304
Zoning CodeNO DATA ASSIGNED
SB 9 StatusLikely · up to 4 units
Unlock Pathways
Ministerial ADU Ministerial SB 9 Density Bonus
Entitlement RiskLow (0/100)

ADU Potential

Feasibility Score100/100
Max ADU Units2 (ADU + JADU)
Est. ADU Size1,200 sqft
Existing Coverage3.8%

Flag / irregular · ~426 ft frontage × 583 ft deep, a tucked-away rear unit is very private; access is typically via the pole driveway.

Screening heuristic based on lot size, existing coverage, lot orientation, and hazard overlays. CA ADU law is ministerial statewide; verify max size, setbacks, and JADU owner-occupancy with the local planning dept.

Seller Motivation

Motivation Score12/100
Low motivation
45+ days on market

Inferred from days on market and listing-description language (e.g. "as-is", "estate sale", "motivated seller"). A screening heuristic for likely negotiability, not a statement about the seller's circumstances.

Redevelopment Potential

Redevelopment Score86/100
ClassTeardown candidate
FAR Utilization10% of allowed
Buildable Headroom+41,350 sqft

Small, older home using a low share of the allowable building envelope on a sizable lot, a scrape-and-rebuild or major-expansion play. Zoning allows roughly 45,722 sqft of gross floor area on this lot.

Screening estimate comparing existing living area to the city's single-family floor-area limit. City sets no explicit FAR (or is not individually curated); allowable area is a conservative estimate. Source: conservative default (0.40 FAR — city not individually curated) (as of 2026-06-30). Verify FAR, coverage, setbacks, and height with the local planning dept.

Hazard Snapshot

Flood Zone

X
Area of minimal flood hazard.

Fire Severity

Moderate
Elevated fire risk; impacts insurance cost and building materials.

Liquefaction

No
Not in a mapped liquefaction zone.

Fault Zone

No
Not in a mapped Alquist-Priolo fault zone.

Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities. Liquefaction and fault flags: modified from California Geological Survey, Web Service of Official Maps of Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones and Web Service of Official Maps of Seismic Hazard Zones (2025).

Nearby Public Schools

Elementary School

Ormondale Elementary

Portola Valley Elementary

0.8 miles away
Middle School

Corte Madera

Portola Valley Elementary

1.7 miles away
High School

Woodside High

Sequoia Union High

3.9 miles away

School boundaries are subject to change. Nearest school distance does not guarantee enrollment eligibility. Check with the local district. Data provided by CDE.

Proprietary Intelligence

Market Heat Index

11/100

Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 94028.

Flippability Score

55/100

Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.

Bidding War Prob.

1%

Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.

Proforma ROI Calculator

Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.

Median of 12 recent single-family sales in Portola Valley (94028): $2,098/sqft, plus 5% because new houses sold at a median 1.07x their comps across 239 real rebuilds. Sized within 25% of the 6,600 sqft build, because smaller houses sell for more per foot and pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.

Interest on the purchase price for the whole project plus half the build budget, since construction draws ramp up. The default is 7% over 33 months, the median purchase-to-sale time of 239 real Peninsula and South Bay rebuilds. Set the rate to 0 for a cash purchase, or use your own lender's terms.

Hard Costs$3,630,000
New Build6,600 sqft
Total Capital Required$10,555,000
Estimated Resale (ARV)$14,539,800
Cost of Sale (5%)-$726,990
Carry (33mo @ 7%)-$1,665,606
Net Proceeds$12,147,204

Projected Profit

$1,592,204
15.1% ROI

Warning: Margin is tight for the construction risk.

Recent Comparables (Portola Valley 94028)

Sized to the modelled 6,600 sqft build: sales within 25% of it. Smaller houses sell for more per foot, so pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

155 Grove Dr

Sold
$14,850,000
Sold: 2026-10-20
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Sqft: 5195
$/Sqft: $2,859

40 Hillbrook Dr

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$7,000,000
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Sqft: 5282
$/Sqft: $1,325

281 Georgia Ln

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$14,500,000
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Sqft: 5120
$/Sqft: $2,832

241 Georgia Ln

Sold
$14,500,000
Sold: 2026-08-28
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Sqft: 5686
$/Sqft: $2,550

3510 Alpine Rd

Sold
$10,850,000
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Sqft: 6593
$/Sqft: $1,646

90 Hayfields Rd

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$3,945,000
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$/Sqft: $732

120 Deer Meadow Ln

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$8,400,000
Sold: 2026-06-03
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$/Sqft: $1,615

170 Mapache Dr

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$19,500,000
Sold: 2026-01-16
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Sqft: 5612
$/Sqft: $3,475

1 Grove Ct

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$14,500,000
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$/Sqft: $2,807

5 Redberry Rdg

Sold
$8,750,000
Sold: 2025-10-20
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Sqft: 7531
$/Sqft: $1,162

16 John Marthens Ln

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$18,000,000
Sold: 2025-09-22
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$/Sqft: $3,102

3 Oak Forest Ct

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$5,205,000
Sold: 2025-09-12
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Sqft: 5970
$/Sqft: $872