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ActiveSingle Family

$5,580,000

23666 Black Oak Way, Cupertino 95014

Beds5
Baths4.5
Sqft3,786
DOM9
No Photos Available

AddressIntel AI Briefing

The high asking price and location in a High Fire Hazard zone drastically restrict development feasibility and compress ROI. The optimal play is stealth density utilizing ADUs, as a physical teardown of this updated 2000-built home would result in severe capital loss.

Property Permit History

DateProject TypeStatusValuationContractor
2026-06-22Re-Roof - OnlineIssued--Unknown

Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (Cupertino)

2026-08-211 APPLE PARK WAY, Cupertino CA 95014
Commercial Alteration
--Submitted
2026-08-2121853 WOODBURY DR, Cupertino CA 95014-1147
Residential Alteration
--Plan Review
2026-08-217493 FALLENLEAF LN, Cupertino CA 95014-5804
Residential Mechanical
--Ready to Issue
2026-08-2110204 BRET Ave, Cupertino CA 95014-3558
Water Heater Replacement - Online
--Pending
2026-08-211125 KENTWOOD Ave, Cupertino CA 95014-5807
Residential Electric Charging Station - Online
--Pending
2026-08-211125 KENTWOOD Ave, Cupertino CA 95014-5807
Residential Electric Charging Station - Online
--Pending

Parcel & Zoning Info

APN34256015
Official Lot Sqft12,197
Zoning Code--
SB 9 StatusLikely · up to 4 units
SB 9 Block Reasons No SB 9 disqualifiers found
Development Blockers
High Fire Zone
Unlock Pathways
Ministerial ADU Ministerial SB 9 Density Bonus
Entitlement RiskLow (0/100)

ADU Potential

Feasibility Score92/100
Max ADU Units2 (ADU + JADU)
Est. ADU Size1,200 sqft
Existing Coverage31%

Flag / irregular · Corner lot · ~162 ft frontage × 164 ft deep, a tucked-away rear unit is very private; access is typically via the pole driveway. A second street frontage lets an ADU take its own entrance and address.

Screening heuristic based on lot size, existing coverage, lot orientation, and hazard overlays. CA ADU law is ministerial statewide; verify max size, setbacks, and JADU owner-occupancy with the local planning dept.

Redevelopment Potential

Redevelopment Score40/100
ClassExpansion room
FAR Utilization69% of allowed
Buildable Headroom+1,703 sqft

Meaningful unused floor-area headroom under current zoning, room to add square footage. Zoning allows roughly 5,489 sqft of gross floor area on this lot.

Screening estimate comparing existing living area to the city's single-family floor-area limit. FAR rule curated from current municipal code. Source: Cupertino Muni Code 19.28.070 (Ord. 25-2277, 2025) (as of 2026-06-30). Verify FAR, coverage, setbacks, and height with the local planning dept.

Hazard Snapshot

Flood Zone

X
Area of minimal flood hazard.

Fire Severity

High
Elevated fire risk; impacts insurance cost and building materials.

Liquefaction

No
Not in a mapped liquefaction zone.

Fault Zone

No
Not in a mapped Alquist-Priolo fault zone.

Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities.

Nearby Public Schools

Elementary School

Montclaire Elementary

Cupertino Union

0.6 miles away
Middle School

Cupertino Middle

Cupertino Union

1.7 miles away
High School

Mountain View High

Mountain View-Los Altos Union High

2.0 miles away

School boundaries are subject to change. Nearest school distance does not guarantee enrollment eligibility. Check with the local district. Data provided by CDE.

Proprietary Intelligence

Market Heat Index

75/100

Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 95014.

Flippability Score

15/100

Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.

Bidding War Prob.

50%

Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.

Proforma ROI Calculator

Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.

Zoning allows roughly 5,489 sqft on this lot, and the default builds to that envelope. The FAR figure is a discretionary-review trigger, not a hard cap.

Median of 5 recent single-family sales in Cupertino (95014): $1,050/sqft. Sized within 25% of the 5,500 sqft build, because smaller houses sell for more per foot and pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.

Carry on total capital for the project duration. At 0% the model is a cash purchase; 12 months at a typical construction-loan rate moves ROI by 6 to 10 points on a deal this size, so price it with your real rate.

Hard Costs$3,025,000
New Build5,500 sqft
Total Capital Required$8,780,000
Estimated Resale (ARV)$5,775,000
Cost of Sale (5%)-$288,750
Net Proceeds$5,486,250

Projected Profit

-$3,293,750
-37.5% ROI

Warning: Project is mathematically underwater.

Recent Comparables (Cupertino 95014)

Sized to the modelled 5,500 sqft build: sales within 25% of it. Smaller houses sell for more per foot, so pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

21697 Rainbow Dr

Sold
$5,400,000
Sold: 2026-05-22
Lot: 131,116
Sqft: 5890
$/Sqft: $917

10376 Avenida Ln

Sold
$5,200,000
Sold: 2026-05-16
Lot: 38,250
Sqft: 4443
$/Sqft: $1,170

22334 Regnart Rd

Sold
$5,100,000
Sold: 2026-03-20
Lot: 117,782
Sqft: 6592
$/Sqft: $774

10080 S Tantau Ave

Sold
$6,000,000
Sold: 2026-03-03
Lot: 9,375
Sqft: 4533
$/Sqft: $1,324

22338 Regnart Rd

Sold
$4,660,000
Sold: 2025-11-18
Lot: 116,863
Sqft: 4436
$/Sqft: $1,050