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ActiveSingle Family

$1,199,000

18240 Ransen Ct, Morgan Hill 95037

Beds3
Baths2
Sqft1,552
DOM5
No Photos Available

AddressIntel AI Briefing

While the lot has space, SB 9 is fully blocked and the property is located in a high-risk flood hazard zone, making any density plays highly restricted. The optimal play is limited to stealth density: primary + ADU + JADU, though flood mitigation requirements will act as a major development blocker. Given the home is already updated, a simple buy-and-hold rental strategy is the most practical choice.

Property Permit History

No permit history found directly associated with this property's address.

Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (Morgan Hill)

Parcel & Zoning Info

APN76411027
Official Lot Sqft5,663
Zoning Code--
SB 9 StatusBlocked
SB 9 Block Reasons
FEMA Special Flood Hazard Area
Development Blockers
Flood Zone (SFHA)
Unlock Pathways
Ministerial ADU
Entitlement RiskLow (15/100)

ADU Potential

Feasibility Score76/100
Max ADU Units2 (ADU + JADU)
Est. ADU Size1,200 sqft
Existing Coverage27.4%

Flag / irregular · Corner lot · ~85 ft frontage × 95 ft deep, a tucked-away rear unit is very private; access is typically via the pole driveway. A second street frontage lets an ADU take its own entrance and address.

Screening heuristic based on lot size, existing coverage, lot orientation, and hazard overlays. CA ADU law is ministerial statewide; verify max size, setbacks, and JADU owner-occupancy with the local planning dept.

Redevelopment Potential

Redevelopment Score30/100
ClassExpansion room
FAR Utilization69% of allowed
Buildable Headroom+713 sqft

Meaningful unused floor-area headroom under current zoning, room to add square footage. Zoning allows roughly 2,265 sqft of gross floor area on this lot.

Screening estimate comparing existing living area to the city's single-family floor-area limit. City sets no explicit FAR (or is not individually curated); allowable area is a conservative estimate. Source: conservative default (0.40 FAR — city not individually curated) (as of 2026-06-30). Verify FAR, coverage, setbacks, and height with the local planning dept.

Hazard Snapshot

Flood Zone

AH
Special flood hazard area; insurance may be required.

Fire Severity

None
Not in a mapped state fire severity zone.

Liquefaction

No
Not in a mapped liquefaction zone.

Fault Zone

No
Not in a mapped Alquist-Priolo fault zone.

Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities. Liquefaction and fault flags: modified from California Geological Survey, Web Service of Official Maps of Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones and Web Service of Official Maps of Seismic Hazard Zones (2025).

Nearby Public Schools

Elementary School

El Toro Health Science Academy

Morgan Hill Unified

0.8 miles away
Middle School

Lewis H. Britton Middle

Morgan Hill Unified

0.7 miles away
High School

Central High (Continuation)

Morgan Hill Unified

1.3 miles away

School boundaries are subject to change. Nearest school distance does not guarantee enrollment eligibility. Check with the local district. Data provided by CDE.

Proprietary Intelligence

Market Heat Index

86/100

Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 95037.

Flippability Score

45/100

Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.

Bidding War Prob.

1%

Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.

Proforma ROI Calculator

Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.

We don't hold this jurisdiction's floor-area rule, so the default builds to roughly 2,265 sqft from a conservative 0.40 FAR approximation, a starting point and not a zoning answer. Check the local code before you rely on it.

Median of 12 recent single-family sales in Morgan Hill (95037): $669/sqft, plus 5% because new houses sold at a median 1.07x their comps across 239 real rebuilds. Sized within 25% of the 2,300 sqft build, because smaller houses sell for more per foot and pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.

Interest on the purchase price for the whole project plus half the build budget, since construction draws ramp up. The default is 7% over 33 months, the median purchase-to-sale time of 239 real Peninsula and South Bay rebuilds. Set the rate to 0 for a cash purchase, or use your own lender's terms.

Hard Costs$1,265,000
New Build2,300 sqft
Total Capital Required$2,639,000
Estimated Resale (ARV)$1,614,600
Cost of Sale (5%)-$80,730
Carry (33mo @ 7%)-$369,408
Net Proceeds$1,164,463

Projected Profit

-$1,474,538
-55.9% ROI

Warning: Project is mathematically underwater.

Recent Comparables (Morgan Hill 95037)

Sized to the modelled 2,300 sqft build: sales within 25% of it. Smaller houses sell for more per foot, so pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

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