Back to Search
ActiveSingle Family

$599,000

4400 Casa Loma Rd, Morgan Hill 95037

Beds1
Baths1
Sqft475
DOM16
No Photos Available

AddressIntel AI Briefing

A classic teardown-and-mansionize play on a massive rural lot featuring an unusable shack. Developers can construct an expansive luxury compound, though they must first clear site-planning challenges such as steep terrain and potential wildfire zones. The scale of the land presents an unmatched opportunity to create a high-value private retreat.

Property Permit History

No permit history found directly associated with this property's address.

Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (Morgan Hill)

Parcel & Zoning Info

APN74216009
Official Lot Sqft91,476
Zoning CodeHS-sr
SB 9 StatusBlocked
SB 9 Block Reasons
Very High Fire Severity Zone
Development Blockers
Very High Fire Zone
Unlock Pathways
Ministerial ADU
Entitlement RiskLow (20/100)

ADU Potential

Feasibility Score97/100
Max ADU Units2 (ADU + JADU)
Est. ADU Size1,200 sqft
Existing Coverage0.5%

Deep lot · Corner lot · ~126 ft frontage × 764 ft deep, room to set a detached ADU back from the street with a buffer, reads as a separate home. A second street frontage lets an ADU take its own entrance and address.

Screening heuristic based on lot size, existing coverage, lot orientation, and hazard overlays. CA ADU law is ministerial statewide; verify max size, setbacks, and JADU owner-occupancy with the local planning dept.

Hazard Snapshot

Flood Zone

D
Special flood hazard area; insurance may be required.

Fire Severity

Very High
Elevated fire risk; impacts insurance cost and building materials.

Liquefaction

No
Not in a mapped liquefaction zone.

Fault Zone

No
Not in a mapped Alquist-Priolo fault zone.

Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities. Liquefaction and fault flags: modified from California Geological Survey, Web Service of Official Maps of Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones and Web Service of Official Maps of Seismic Hazard Zones (2025).

Proprietary Intelligence

Market Heat Index

87/100

Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 95037.

Flippability Score

80/100

Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.

Bidding War Prob.

1%

Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.

Proforma ROI Calculator

Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.

Median of 12 recent single-family sales in Morgan Hill (95037): $940/sqft, plus 5% because new houses sold at a median 1.07x their comps across 239 real rebuilds. Sized within 25% of the 700 sqft build, because smaller houses sell for more per foot and pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.

Interest on the purchase price for the whole project plus half the build budget, since construction draws ramp up. The default is 7% over 33 months, the median purchase-to-sale time of 239 real Peninsula and South Bay rebuilds. Set the rate to 0 for a cash purchase, or use your own lender's terms.

Hard Costs$385,000
New Build700 sqft
Total Capital Required$1,159,000
Estimated Resale (ARV)$690,900
Cost of Sale (5%)-$34,545
Carry (33mo @ 7%)-$169,208
Net Proceeds$487,148

Projected Profit

-$671,853
-58.0% ROI

Warning: Project is mathematically underwater.

Recent Comparables (Morgan Hill 95037)

Sized to the modelled 700 sqft build: sales within 25% of it. Smaller houses sell for more per foot, so pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

13006 Malech Rd

Sold
$950,000
Sold: 2026-07-31
Lot: 22,914
Sqft: 856
$/Sqft: $1,110

584 Monterey Rd

Sold
$950,000
Sold: 2026-07-31
Lot: 22,175
Sqft: 658
$/Sqft: $1,444

17805 Elm Rd

Sold
$2,050,000
Sold: 2026-03-26
Lot: 425,469
Sqft: 765
$/Sqft: $2,680

16715 Audrey Dr

Sold
$537,000
Sold: 2026-02-27
Lot: 2,240
Sqft: 587
$/Sqft: $915

9610 Monterey Rd

Sold
$870,000
Sold: 2026-01-23
Lot: 19,650
Sqft: 780
$/Sqft: $1,115

741 Lilly Ln

Sold
$640,000
Sold: 2025-12-29
Lot: 2,240
Sqft: 824
$/Sqft: $777

746 Anne Ln

Sold
$540,000
Sold: 2025-09-25
Lot: 2,240
Sqft: 587
$/Sqft: $920

16780 McGraw Ave

Sold
$599,000
Sold: 2025-08-28
Lot: 8,910
Sqft: 624
$/Sqft: $960

749 Anne Ln

Sold
$570,000
Sold: 2025-08-13
Lot: 2,240
Sqft: 815
$/Sqft: $699

16702 Audrey Dr

Sold
$635,000
Sold: 2025-02-14
Lot: 2,349
Sqft: 824
$/Sqft: $771

1020 E Main Ave

Sold
$850,000
Sold: 2025-01-29
Lot: 47,476
Sqft: 576
$/Sqft: $1,476

727 Mei Dr

Sold
$630,000
Sold: 2024-11-21
Lot: 2,178
Sqft: 824
$/Sqft: $765