Back to Search
ActiveSingle Family

$1,799,888

17864 Holiday Dr, Morgan Hill 95037

Beds4
Baths3
Sqft3,689
DOM101
No Photos Available

AddressIntel AI Briefing

An SB 9 lot split into multiple units is the optimal play given the large lot size, though high acquisition costs relative to local comps present a challenge. If zoning allows, subdividing is the only way to justify the initial price point.

Property Permit History

No permit history found directly associated with this property's address.

Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (Morgan Hill)

Parcel & Zoning Info

APN72945008
Official Lot Sqft36,155
Zoning Code--
SB 9 StatusLikely · up to 4 units
SB 9 Block Reasons No SB 9 disqualifiers found
Development Blockers
Landslide
Unlock Pathways
Ministerial ADU Ministerial SB 9 Density Bonus
Entitlement RiskLow (0/100)

ADU Potential

Feasibility Score100/100
Max ADU Units2 (ADU + JADU)
Est. ADU Size1,200 sqft
Existing Coverage10.2%

Standard lot · Corner lot · ~208 ft frontage × 261 ft deep, typical proportions for a detached ADU behind or beside the home. A second street frontage lets an ADU take its own entrance and address.

Screening heuristic based on lot size, existing coverage, lot orientation, and hazard overlays. CA ADU law is ministerial statewide; verify max size, setbacks, and JADU owner-occupancy with the local planning dept.

Seller Motivation

Motivation Score30/100
Some motivation
90+ days on market

Inferred from days on market and listing-description language (e.g. "as-is", "estate sale", "motivated seller"). A screening heuristic for likely negotiability, not a statement about the seller's circumstances.

Redevelopment Potential

Redevelopment Score69/100
ClassExpansion room
FAR Utilization26% of allowed
Buildable Headroom+10,773 sqft

Meaningful unused floor-area headroom under current zoning, room to add square footage. Zoning allows roughly 14,462 sqft of gross floor area on this lot.

Screening estimate comparing existing living area to the city's single-family floor-area limit. City sets no explicit FAR (or is not individually curated); allowable area is a conservative estimate. Source: conservative default (0.40 FAR — city not individually curated) (as of 2026-06-30). Verify FAR, coverage, setbacks, and height with the local planning dept.

Hazard Snapshot

Flood Zone

X
Area of minimal flood hazard.

Fire Severity

Moderate
Elevated fire risk; impacts insurance cost and building materials.

Liquefaction

No
Not in a mapped liquefaction zone.

Fault Zone

No
Not in a mapped Alquist-Priolo fault zone.

Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities. Liquefaction and fault flags: modified from California Geological Survey, Web Service of Official Maps of Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones and Web Service of Official Maps of Seismic Hazard Zones (2025).

Nearby Public Schools

Elementary School

Jackson Academy of Music and Math (JAMM)

Morgan Hill Unified

1.7 miles away
Middle School

Lewis H. Britton Middle

Morgan Hill Unified

3.1 miles away
High School

Live Oak High

Morgan Hill Unified

1.4 miles away

School boundaries are subject to change. Nearest school distance does not guarantee enrollment eligibility. Check with the local district. Data provided by CDE.

Proprietary Intelligence

Market Heat Index

87/100

Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 95037.

Flippability Score

30/100

Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.

Bidding War Prob.

1%

Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.

Proforma ROI Calculator

Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.

We don't hold this jurisdiction's floor-area rule, so the default builds to roughly 14,462 sqft from a conservative 0.40 FAR approximation, a starting point and not a zoning answer. Check the local code before you rely on it.

Median of 12 recent single-family sales in Morgan Hill (95037): $638/sqft, plus 5% because new houses sold at a median 1.07x their comps across 239 real rebuilds. No size-matched sales in Morgan Hill, so this median mixes build sizes and reads high for a large rebuild.

Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.

Interest on the purchase price for the whole project plus half the build budget, since construction draws ramp up. The default is 7% over 33 months, the median purchase-to-sale time of 239 real Peninsula and South Bay rebuilds. Set the rate to 0 for a cash purchase, or use your own lender's terms.

Hard Costs$7,975,000
New Build14,500 sqft
Total Capital Required$9,949,888
Estimated Resale (ARV)$9,715,000
Cost of Sale (5%)-$485,750
Carry (33mo @ 7%)-$1,130,916
Net Proceeds$8,098,334

Projected Profit

-$1,851,554
-18.6% ROI

Warning: Project is mathematically underwater.

Recent Comparables (Morgan Hill 95037)

No size-matched sales in Morgan Hill, so these are unmatched on size and the ARV below is a loose estimate.

190 Fennel Ct

Sold
$2,150,000
Sold: 2026-10-20
Lot: 10,399
Sqft: 3850
$/Sqft: $558

1481 Morning Star Dr

Sold
$2,090,000
Sold: 2026-10-20
Lot: 10,328
Sqft: 2798
$/Sqft: $747

14744 Excaliber Dr

Sold
$1,440,000
Sold: 2026-10-19
Lot: 5,600
Sqft: 2330
$/Sqft: $618

19221 Eagle View Dr

Sold
$1,880,000
Sold: 2026-10-16
Lot: 7,069
Sqft: 2856
$/Sqft: $658

18275 Los Padres Pl

Sold
$2,090,000
Sold: 2026-10-15
Lot: 9,382
Sqft: 3577
$/Sqft: $584

585 Calle Siena

Sold
$2,025,000
Sold: 2026-10-13
Lot: 9,182
Sqft: 3727
$/Sqft: $543

655 Encino Dr

Sold
$1,370,000
Sold: 2026-10-13
Lot: 10,550
Sqft: 2250
$/Sqft: $609

2736 Mira Bella Cir

Sold
$1,510,000
Sold: 2026-10-08
Lot: 7,730
Sqft: 2224
$/Sqft: $679

18340 Murphy Springs Dr

Sold
$1,150,000
Sold: 2026-10-07
Lot: 5,130
Sqft: 1578
$/Sqft: $729

15190 Yvonne Dr

Sold
$3,195,000
Sold: 2026-10-05
Lot: 79,845
Sqft: 5558
$/Sqft: $575

14655 Country Ln

Sold
$1,600,000
Sold: 2026-10-05
Lot: 45,440
Sqft: 2054
$/Sqft: $779

1610 Almond Way

Sold
$1,065,000
Sold: 2026-10-01
Lot: 8,039
Sqft: 1220
$/Sqft: $873