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ActiveSingle Family

$1,280,000

322 Casa Loma Rd, Morgan Hill 95037

Beds3
Baths3
Sqft1,845
DOM105
No Photos Available

AddressIntel AI Briefing

A premier teardown-and-mansionize candidate on nearly 10 acres of scenic Morgan Hill land. The outdated primary home should be replaced with a high-end luxury estate to capture the upscale rural market. Planning should account for potential wildfire hazard zones and driveway access constraints.

Property Permit History

No permit history found directly associated with this property's address.

Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (Morgan Hill)

Parcel & Zoning Info

APN74220009
Official Lot Sqft418,176
Zoning CodeHS
SB 9 StatusBlocked
SB 9 Block Reasons
Very High Fire Severity Zone
Development Blockers
Very High Fire Zone Landslide
Unlock Pathways
Ministerial ADU
Entitlement RiskModerate (28/100)

ADU Potential

Feasibility Score91/100
Max ADU Units2 (ADU + JADU)
Est. ADU Size1,200 sqft
Existing Coverage0.4%

Deep lot · Corner lot · ~372 ft frontage × 1640 ft deep, room to set a detached ADU back from the street with a buffer, reads as a separate home. A second street frontage lets an ADU take its own entrance and address.

Screening heuristic based on lot size, existing coverage, lot orientation, and hazard overlays. CA ADU law is ministerial statewide; verify max size, setbacks, and JADU owner-occupancy with the local planning dept.

Seller Motivation

Motivation Score30/100
Some motivation
90+ days on market

Inferred from days on market and listing-description language (e.g. "as-is", "estate sale", "motivated seller"). A screening heuristic for likely negotiability, not a statement about the seller's circumstances.

Hazard Snapshot

Flood Zone

D
Special flood hazard area; insurance may be required.

Fire Severity

Very High
Elevated fire risk; impacts insurance cost and building materials.

Liquefaction

No
Not in a mapped liquefaction zone.

Fault Zone

No
Not in a mapped Alquist-Priolo fault zone.

Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities. Liquefaction and fault flags: modified from California Geological Survey, Web Service of Official Maps of Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones and Web Service of Official Maps of Seismic Hazard Zones (2025).

Nearby Public Schools

Elementary School

Charter School of Morgan Hill

Morgan Hill Unified

4.3 miles away
High School

Central High (Continuation)

Morgan Hill Unified

4.3 miles away

School boundaries are subject to change. Nearest school distance does not guarantee enrollment eligibility. Check with the local district. Data provided by CDE.

Proprietary Intelligence

Market Heat Index

87/100

Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 95037.

Flippability Score

75/100

Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.

Bidding War Prob.

1%

Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.

Proforma ROI Calculator

Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.

Median of 12 recent single-family sales in Morgan Hill (95037): $638/sqft, plus 5% because new houses sold at a median 1.07x their comps across 239 real rebuilds. Sized within 25% of the 2,800 sqft build, because smaller houses sell for more per foot and pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.

Interest on the purchase price for the whole project plus half the build budget, since construction draws ramp up. The default is 7% over 33 months, the median purchase-to-sale time of 239 real Peninsula and South Bay rebuilds. Set the rate to 0 for a cash purchase, or use your own lender's terms.

Hard Costs$1,540,000
New Build2,800 sqft
Total Capital Required$2,995,000
Estimated Resale (ARV)$1,876,000
Cost of Sale (5%)-$93,800
Carry (33mo @ 7%)-$411,469
Net Proceeds$1,370,731

Projected Profit

-$1,624,269
-54.2% ROI

Warning: Project is mathematically underwater.

Recent Comparables (Morgan Hill 95037)

Sized to the modelled 2,800 sqft build: sales within 25% of it. Smaller houses sell for more per foot, so pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

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