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ActiveTownhouse

$2,300,000

10700 Stevens Canyon Rd, Cupertino 95014

Beds3
Baths2
Sqft2,114
DOM18
No Photos Available

AddressIntel AI Briefing

A townhome investment play that is severely constrained by an above-market asking price and a Very High fire hazard severity rating. These factors will likely inflate insurance premiums and complicate any future resale, making it a defensive hold at best.

Property Permit History

No permit history found directly associated with this property's address.

Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (Cupertino)

2026-10-21 • 10455 TORRE AVE, Cupertino CA 95014-3203
Commercial Alteration
--Plan Review
2026-10-21 • 20400 STEVENS CREEK BLVD, STE 100, CUPERTINO CA 95014-2296
Commercial Electrical
--Plan Review
2026-10-21 • 19608 PRUNERIDGE Ave, Apt 8302, CUPERTINO CA 95014-6764
Water Heater Replacement - Online
--Pending
2026-10-20 • 20308 PACIFICA Dr, Cupertino CA 95014-3001
Whole House Water Re-Pipe - Online
--Issued
2026-10-20 • 21130 CANYON OAK, Cupertino CA 95014-6572
Residential Re-Roof
--Accepted
2026-10-20 • 10268 BANDLEY DR, Cupertino CA 95014-1911
Multi-Family New
--Plan Review

Parcel & Zoning Info

APN35603060
Official Lot Sqft1,307
Zoning Code--
SB 9 StatusN/A

Condo Investment Snapshot

Value Score31/100
Price / Sqft$1,088 vs $992 mkt
Price vs Market+9.6% Above market
Est. Rent$7,986/mo

Price positioning vs. 94 recent comparable condo/townhome sales in this ZIP. Est. rent is a rule-of-thumb (price ÷ 24 ÷ 12), not a market quote. SB 9 / ADU development analysis doesn't apply to condos: the owner doesn't control the underlying land.

Hazard Snapshot

Flood Zone

X
Area of minimal flood hazard.

Fire Severity

Very High
Elevated fire risk; impacts insurance cost and building materials.

Liquefaction

No
Not in a mapped liquefaction zone.

Fault Zone

No
Not in a mapped Alquist-Priolo fault zone.

Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities. Liquefaction and fault flags: modified from California Geological Survey, Web Service of Official Maps of Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones and Web Service of Official Maps of Seismic Hazard Zones (2025).

Nearby Public Schools

Elementary School

Abraham Lincoln Elementary

Cupertino Union

0.8 miles away
Middle School

John F. Kennedy Middle

Cupertino Union

0.9 miles away
High School

Monta Vista High

Fremont Union High

0.7 miles away

School boundaries are subject to change. Nearest school distance does not guarantee enrollment eligibility. Check with the local district. Data provided by CDE.

Proprietary Intelligence

Market Heat Index

75/100

Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 95014.

Flippability Score

15/100

Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.

Bidding War Prob.

42%

Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.

Proforma ROI Calculator

Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.

Median of 12 recent townhome sales in Cupertino (95014): $1,036/sqft, plus 5% because new houses sold at a median 1.07x their comps across 239 real rebuilds. Sized within 50% of the 3,200 sqft build, because smaller houses sell for more per foot and pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.

Interest on the purchase price for the whole project plus half the build budget, since construction draws ramp up. The default is 7% over 33 months, the median purchase-to-sale time of 239 real Peninsula and South Bay rebuilds. Set the rate to 0 for a cash purchase, or use your own lender's terms.

Hard Costs$1,760,000
New Build3,200 sqft
Total Capital Required$4,235,000
Estimated Resale (ARV)$3,481,600
Cost of Sale (5%)-$174,080
Carry (33mo @ 7%)-$628,994
Net Proceeds$2,678,526

Projected Profit

-$1,556,474
-36.8% ROI

Warning: Project is mathematically underwater.

Recent Comparables (Cupertino 95014)

Sized to the modelled 3,200 sqft build: sales within 50% of it. Smaller houses sell for more per foot, so pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

22964 Longdown Rd

Sold
$1,800,000
Sold: 2026-10-20
Lot: 1,738
Sqft: 1610
$/Sqft: $1,118

22944 Longdown Rd

Sold
$1,710,000
Sold: 2026-10-19
Lot: 1,818
Sqft: 1610
$/Sqft: $1,062

10173 Parish Pl

Sold
$2,100,000
Sold: 2026-08-07
Lot: 3,080
Sqft: 1805
$/Sqft: $1,163

10177 Camberley Ln

Sold
$1,915,000
Sold: 2026-05-22
Lot: -
Sqft: 1936
$/Sqft: $989

22475 McClellan Rd

Sold
$1,700,000
Sold: 2026-05-15
Lot: 3,287
Sqft: 1641
$/Sqft: $1,036

22821 Longdown Rd

Sold
$1,850,000
Sold: 2026-04-24
Lot: 1,612
Sqft: 1785
$/Sqft: $1,036

22851 Stonebridge St

Sold
$2,038,000
Sold: 2026-02-26
Lot: 3,348
Sqft: 2202
$/Sqft: $926

10900 Lucky Oak St

Sold
$2,200,000
Sold: 2026-02-04
Lot: 1,584
Sqft: 2082
$/Sqft: $1,057

10107 Lamplighter Sq

Sold
$1,964,920
Sold: 2025-12-29
Lot: -
Sqft: 1727
$/Sqft: $1,138

10961 Kester Dr

Sold
$2,175,000
Sold: 2025-12-23
Lot: 3,660
Sqft: 2119
$/Sqft: $1,026

10837 N Stelling Rd

Sold
$1,635,000
Sold: 2025-12-22
Lot: -
Sqft: 1762
$/Sqft: $928

10893 Canyon Vista Dr

Sold
$1,925,000
Sold: 2025-11-27
Lot: -
Sqft: 1973
$/Sqft: $976