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ActiveSingle Family

$2,995,000

21450 Chona Ct, San Jose 95120

Beds3
Baths3
Sqft1,297
DOM57
No Photos Available

AddressIntel AI Briefing

The optimal play is stealth density: primary + ADU + JADU using ADU pathways, as SB 9 is legally blocked. Ground-up expansion on this massive rural lot faces severe headwind blockers, including high fire severity, flood zones, and liquefaction soils.

Property Permit History

No permit history found directly associated with this property's address.

Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (San Jose)

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Parcel & Zoning Info

APN70135018
Official Lot Sqft120,661
Zoning CodeRR
SB 9 StatusBlocked
SB 9 Block Reasons
FEMA Special Flood Hazard Area
Development Blockers
High Fire Zone Flood Zone (SFHA) Liquefaction
Unlock Pathways
Ministerial ADU AB 1033 (sell ADU as condo)
Entitlement RiskModerate (29/100)

ADU Potential

Feasibility Score88/100
Max ADU Units2 (ADU + JADU)
Est. ADU Size1,200 sqft
Existing Coverage1.1%

Flag / irregular · Corner lot · ~416 ft frontage × 611 ft deep, a tucked-away rear unit is very private; access is typically via the pole driveway. A second street frontage lets an ADU take its own entrance and address.

Screening heuristic based on lot size, existing coverage, lot orientation, and hazard overlays. CA ADU law is ministerial statewide; verify max size, setbacks, and JADU owner-occupancy with the local planning dept.

Seller Motivation

Motivation Score12/100
Low motivation
45+ days on market

Inferred from days on market and listing-description language (e.g. "as-is", "estate sale", "motivated seller"). A screening heuristic for likely negotiability, not a statement about the seller's circumstances.

Hazard Snapshot

Flood Zone

A
Special flood hazard area; insurance may be required.

Fire Severity

High
Elevated fire risk; impacts insurance cost and building materials.

Liquefaction

Yes
In a mapped liquefaction zone. May require specialized foundation engineering.

Fault Zone

No
Not in a mapped Alquist-Priolo fault zone.

Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities. Liquefaction and fault flags: modified from California Geological Survey, Web Service of Official Maps of Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones and Web Service of Official Maps of Seismic Hazard Zones (2025).

Nearby Public Schools

Elementary School

Graystone Elementary

San Jose Unified

1.8 miles away
Middle School

Bernal Intermediate

Oak Grove Elementary

2.0 miles away
High School

Leland High

San Jose Unified

2.2 miles away

School boundaries are subject to change. Nearest school distance does not guarantee enrollment eligibility. Check with the local district. Data provided by CDE.

Proprietary Intelligence

Market Heat Index

82/100

Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 95120.

Flippability Score

45/100

Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.

Bidding War Prob.

18%

Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.

Proforma ROI Calculator

Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.

Median of 12 recent single-family sales in San Jose (95120): $964/sqft, plus 5% because new houses sold at a median 1.07x their comps across 239 real rebuilds. Sized within 25% of the 1,900 sqft build, because smaller houses sell for more per foot and pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.

Interest on the purchase price for the whole project plus half the build budget, since construction draws ramp up. The default is 7% over 33 months, the median purchase-to-sale time of 239 real Peninsula and South Bay rebuilds. Set the rate to 0 for a cash purchase, or use your own lender's terms.

Hard Costs$1,045,000
New Build1,900 sqft
Total Capital Required$4,215,000
Estimated Resale (ARV)$1,922,800
Cost of Sale (5%)-$96,140
Carry (33mo @ 7%)-$693,963
Net Proceeds$1,132,698

Projected Profit

-$3,082,303
-73.1% ROI

Warning: Project is mathematically underwater.

Recent Comparables (San Jose 95120)

Sized to the modelled 1,900 sqft build: sales within 25% of it. Smaller houses sell for more per foot, so pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

1407 Dot Ct

Sold
$1,700,000
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1218 Wooded Hills Dr

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$2,325,000
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$/Sqft: $1,002

6464 Dwyer Ct

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$1,810,000
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1043 Mount Carmel Dr

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1311 Cerro Verde

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$1,760,000
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6644 Crystal Springs Dr

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1108 Calle Almaden

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1058 Mountain Shadows Rd

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$2,000,000
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$/Sqft: $1,053

6738 Worthing Ct

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$2,200,000
Sold: 2026-09-29
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$/Sqft: $1,015

5823 Antigua Dr

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$1,725,000
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