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ActiveSingle Family

$1,850,000

3106 Marburger Ave, Belmont 94002

Beds3
Baths2
Sqft1,340
DOM69
No Photos Available

Size check

The listing's square footage against the county assessor's record and the permits on file.

Listing
1,340 sqft
County record
1,340 sqft
Difference
+0 (+0%)

The listing and the county record agree within 10%.

What can explain a difference
  • Space built without a permit.
  • Permitted work the assessor has not recorded yet.
  • An ADU, a finished basement or a converted garage counted in one figure and not the other.
  • Different measuring. Listing agents and the assessor often measure the same house differently.

Our Belmont permit record starts in 2026. Work permitted before then will not appear above.

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AddressIntel AI Briefing

Developing on this site is severely constrained by a landslide zone and negative margins. The optimal play is stealth density: primary + ADU + JADU to minimize heavy site grading and structural risks.

Property Permit History

No permit history found directly associated with this property's address.

Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (Belmont)

2026-10-20 • 2506 RALSTON AVE
ALTERATION - WINDOWS
--ACTIVE
2026-10-20 • 1308 TALBRYN DR
ALTERATION - ALTERATION
--IN REVIEW
2026-10-19 • 1039 CONTINENTALS WAY
ALTERATION - ALTERATION
--ACTIVE
2026-10-17 • 2129 PULLMAN AVE
ALTERATION - ALTERATION
--IN REVIEW
2026-10-15 • 2824 BENSON WAY
ALTERATION - INTERIOR REMODEL
--IN REVIEW
2026-10-14 • 1771 VALLEY VIEW AVE
ALTERATION - INTERIOR REMODEL
--ACTIVE

Parcel & Zoning Info

APN043202040
Official Lot Sqft4,417
Zoning CodeNO DATA ASSIGNED
SB 9 StatusLikely · up to 4 units
SB 9 Block Reasons No SB 9 disqualifiers found
Development Blockers
Landslide
Unlock Pathways
Ministerial ADU Ministerial SB 9 Density Bonus
Entitlement RiskLow (0/100)

ADU Potential

Feasibility Score70/100
Max ADU Units2 (ADU + JADU)
Est. ADU Size1,200 sqft
Existing Coverage30.3%

Flag / irregular · Corner lot · ~97 ft frontage × 97 ft deep, a tucked-away rear unit is very private; access is typically via the pole driveway. A second street frontage lets an ADU take its own entrance and address.

Screening heuristic based on lot size, existing coverage, lot orientation, and hazard overlays. CA ADU law is ministerial statewide; verify max size, setbacks, and JADU owner-occupancy with the local planning dept.

Seller Motivation

Motivation Score20/100
Low motivation
60+ days on market

Inferred from days on market and listing-description language (e.g. "as-is", "estate sale", "motivated seller"). A screening heuristic for likely negotiability, not a statement about the seller's circumstances.

Redevelopment Potential

Redevelopment Score15/100
ClassBuilt out
FAR Utilization76% of allowed
Buildable Headroom+427 sqft

Existing home already uses most of the allowable floor area, little expansion headroom. Zoning allows roughly 1,767 sqft of gross floor area on this lot.

Screening estimate comparing existing living area to the city's single-family floor-area limit. City sets no explicit FAR (or is not individually curated); allowable area is a conservative estimate. Source: Belmont Zoning Ordinance 4.2.3(d) Table 5 (Lot Size/Intensity) as a CAP on the default estimate; Table 4 slope FAR NOT applied, no per-parcel slope available (as of 2026-09-03). Verify FAR, coverage, setbacks, and height with the local planning dept.

Hazard Snapshot

Flood Zone

X
Area of minimal flood hazard.

Fire Severity

Moderate
Elevated fire risk; impacts insurance cost and building materials.

Liquefaction

No
Not in a mapped liquefaction zone.

Fault Zone

No
Not in a mapped Alquist-Priolo fault zone.

Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities. Liquefaction and fault flags: modified from California Geological Survey, Web Service of Official Maps of Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones and Web Service of Official Maps of Seismic Hazard Zones (2025).

Nearby Public Schools

Elementary School

Cipriani Elementary

Belmont-Redwood Shores Elementary

0.3 miles away
Middle School

Ralston Intermediate

Belmont-Redwood Shores Elementary

0.2 miles away
High School

Hillsdale High

San Mateo Union High

1.2 miles away

School boundaries are subject to change. Nearest school distance does not guarantee enrollment eligibility. Check with the local district. Data provided by CDE.

Proprietary Intelligence

Market Heat Index

67/100

Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 94002.

Flippability Score

20/100

Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.

Bidding War Prob.

42%

Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.

Proforma ROI Calculator

Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.

We don't hold this jurisdiction's floor-area rule, so the default builds to roughly 1,767 sqft from a conservative 0.40 FAR approximation, a starting point and not a zoning answer. Check the local code before you rely on it.

Median of 12 recent single-family sales in Belmont (94002): $1,227/sqft, plus 5% because new houses sold at a median 1.07x their comps across 239 real rebuilds. Sized within 25% of the 1,800 sqft build, because smaller houses sell for more per foot and pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.

Interest on the purchase price for the whole project plus half the build budget, since construction draws ramp up. The default is 7% over 33 months, the median purchase-to-sale time of 239 real Peninsula and South Bay rebuilds. Set the rate to 0 for a cash purchase, or use your own lender's terms.

Hard Costs$990,000
New Build1,800 sqft
Total Capital Required$3,015,000
Estimated Resale (ARV)$2,318,400
Cost of Sale (5%)-$115,920
Carry (33mo @ 7%)-$468,256
Net Proceeds$1,734,224

Projected Profit

-$1,280,776
-42.5% ROI

Warning: Project is mathematically underwater.

Recent Comparables (Belmont 94002)

Sized to the modelled 1,800 sqft build: sales within 25% of it. Smaller houses sell for more per foot, so pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

1580 Winding Way

Sold
$1,910,000
Sold: 2026-10-19
Lot: 5,760
Sqft: 1560
$/Sqft: $1,224

1591 Fifth Ave

Sold
$1,925,000
Sold: 2026-10-16
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Sqft: 1606
$/Sqft: $1,199

3202 E Laurel Creek Rd

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$1,900,000
Sold: 2026-10-08
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Sqft: 2110
$/Sqft: $900

3402 Hillcrest Dr

Sold
$3,000,000
Sold: 2026-10-08
Lot: 13,038
Sqft: 1865
$/Sqft: $1,609

2244 Semeria Ave

Sold
$3,200,000
Sold: 2026-09-30
Lot: 5,859
Sqft: 1936
$/Sqft: $1,653

3618 Reposo Way

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$/Sqft: $1,582

1255 North Rd

Sold
$2,250,000
Sold: 2026-09-28
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$/Sqft: $1,230

316 Hiller St

Sold
$2,300,000
Sold: 2026-09-22
Lot: 5,000
Sqft: 1565
$/Sqft: $1,470

2527 Dekoven Ave

Sold
$3,200,000
Sold: 2026-09-21
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$/Sqft: $1,818

1917 Hillman Ave

Sold
$1,880,000
Sold: 2026-09-18
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Sqft: 1710
$/Sqft: $1,099

1720 Terrace Dr

Sold
$1,699,000
Sold: 2026-09-11
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$/Sqft: $982

2428 Hastings Dr

Sold
$1,965,000
Sold: 2026-09-11
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$/Sqft: $1,163