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ActiveTownhouse

$898,000

123 Mission Dr, East Palo Alto 94303

Beds2
Baths2.5
Sqft1,510
DOM7
No Photos Available

AddressIntel AI Briefing

This renovated townhome stands out as a highly lucrative investment play, listed at a massive discount relative to neighborhood comps. Given its strong estimated rental yield and turnkey condition, it represents an immediate cash-flow asset with low vacancy risk. While it is a single-unit listing rather than a bulk play, the deep pricing discount makes it an exceptional buy-and-hold opportunity.

Property Permit History

No permit history found directly associated with this property's address.

Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (East Palo Alto)

Parcel & Zoning Info

APN111420080
Official Lot Sqft718
Zoning CodeNO DATA ASSIGNED
SB 9 StatusN/A

Condo Investment Snapshot

Value Score100/100
Price / Sqft$595 vs $1,049 mkt
Price vs Market-43.3% Below market
Est. Rent$3,118/mo

Price positioning vs. 51 recent comparable condo/townhome sales in this ZIP. Est. rent is a rule-of-thumb (price ÷ 24 ÷ 12), not a market quote. SB 9 / ADU development analysis doesn't apply to condos: the owner doesn't control the underlying land.

Hazard Snapshot

Flood Zone

X
Area of minimal flood hazard.

Fire Severity

None
Not in a mapped state fire severity zone.

Liquefaction

Yes
In a mapped liquefaction zone. May require specialized foundation engineering.

Fault Zone

No
Not in a mapped Alquist-Priolo fault zone.

Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities. Liquefaction and fault flags: modified from California Geological Survey, Web Service of Official Maps of Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones and Web Service of Official Maps of Seismic Hazard Zones (2025).

Nearby Public Schools

Elementary School

Duveneck Elementary

Palo Alto Unified

0.4 miles away
Middle School

Frank S. Greene Jr. Middle

Palo Alto Unified

1.2 miles away
High School

East Palo Alto Academy

Sequoia Union High

0.5 miles away

School boundaries are subject to change. Nearest school distance does not guarantee enrollment eligibility. Check with the local district. Data provided by CDE.

Proprietary Intelligence

Market Heat Index

69/100

Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 94303.

Flippability Score

85/100

Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.

Bidding War Prob.

28%

Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.

Proforma ROI Calculator

Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.

Median of 12 recent sales in East Palo Alto (94303): $618/sqft. Sized within 25% of the 2,300 sqft build, because smaller houses sell for more per foot and pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale. Too few same-type sales in East Palo Alto, so the mix includes other property types.

Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.

Carry on total capital for the project duration. At 0% the model is a cash purchase; 12 months at a typical construction-loan rate moves ROI by 6 to 10 points on a deal this size, so price it with your real rate.

Hard Costs$1,265,000
New Build2,300 sqft
Total Capital Required$2,338,000
Estimated Resale (ARV)$1,421,400
Cost of Sale (5%)-$71,070
Net Proceeds$1,350,330

Projected Profit

-$987,670
-42.2% ROI

Warning: Project is mathematically underwater.

Recent Comparables (East Palo Alto 94303)

Sized to the modelled 2,300 sqft build: sales within 25% of it. Smaller houses sell for more per foot, so pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

3 Shorebreeze Ct

Sold
$1,340,000
Sold: 2026-08-05
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Sqft: 1840
$/Sqft: $728

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Sqft: 1850
$/Sqft: $581

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$1,420,000
Sold: 2026-07-23
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Sqft: 1856
$/Sqft: $765

909 Baines St

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$1,350,888
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Sqft: 2020
$/Sqft: $669

828 Weeks St

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$1,125,000
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Sqft: 1988
$/Sqft: $566

1017 Beech St

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2895 Fordham St

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639 Montage Cir

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2148 Ralmar Ave

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$998,000
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$/Sqft: $542

2148 Ralmar Ave

Sold
$998,000
Sold: 2026-04-03
Lot: 5,000
Sqft: 1840
$/Sqft: $542

2212 Dumbarton Ave

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$1,379,000
Sold: 2026-03-30
Lot: 5,000
Sqft: 1962
$/Sqft: $703

867 Maple Pl

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$1,307,000
Sold: 2026-03-12
Lot: 2,456
Sqft: 2254
$/Sqft: $580