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ActiveTownhouse

$1,539,000

409 Longden Ave, San Mateo 94403

Beds2
Baths2.5
Sqft1,360
DOM41
No Photos Available

AddressIntel AI Briefing

Framed as a condo investment, this asset is severely overpriced at 34.6% above market comps, offering limited upside. Despite its relatively modern 2015 build, the low estimated rental yield does not justify the high entry price.

Property Permit History

No permit history found directly associated with this property's address.

Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (San Mateo)

2026-10-20 • 308 42ND AVE SAN MATEO CA 94403-5004
Single Family (Addition) - Add/Alter - Add/Alter
$234,243Issued
2026-10-20 • 416 FAIRFAX AVE SAN MATEO 94402-2210 CA
Single Family (Alteration/Repair) - Alter - Alter
$7,500Issued
2026-10-19 • 1464 WOODBERRY AVE SAN MATEO 94403-3765 CA
Single Family (Alteration/Repair) - Kitchen & Bath Remodel (Flat) - Kitchen & Bath Remodel (Flat)
$30,000Issued
2026-10-19 • 723 COSTA RICA AVE SAN MATEO 94402-1014 CA
Single Family (New) - New - New
$197,500Issued
2026-10-18 • 2630 ALAMEDA DE LAS PULGAS SAN MATEO 94403-2652 CA
Single Family (Addition) - Add/Alter - Add/Alter
$285,704Issued
2026-10-17 • 3513 CASANOVA DR SAN MATEO 94403-2908 CA
Single Family (Alteration/Repair) - Alter - Alter
$15,815Under Review

Parcel & Zoning Info

APN124200050
Official Lot Sqft648
Zoning CodeNO DATA ASSIGNED
SB 9 StatusN/A

Condo Investment Snapshot

Value Score0/100
Price / Sqft$1,132 vs $844 mkt
Price vs Market+34.1% Above market
Est. Rent$5,344/mo

Price positioning vs. 106 recent comparable condo/townhome sales in this ZIP. Est. rent is a rule-of-thumb (price ÷ 24 ÷ 12), not a market quote. SB 9 / ADU development analysis doesn't apply to condos: the owner doesn't control the underlying land.

Seller Motivation

Motivation Score6/100
Low motivation
30+ days on market

Inferred from days on market and listing-description language (e.g. "as-is", "estate sale", "motivated seller"). A screening heuristic for likely negotiability, not a statement about the seller's circumstances.

Hazard Snapshot

Flood Zone

X
Area of minimal flood hazard.

Fire Severity

None
Not in a mapped state fire severity zone.

Liquefaction

Yes
In a mapped liquefaction zone. May require specialized foundation engineering.

Fault Zone

No
Not in a mapped Alquist-Priolo fault zone.

Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities. Liquefaction and fault flags: modified from California Geological Survey, Web Service of Official Maps of Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones and Web Service of Official Maps of Seismic Hazard Zones (2025).

Nearby Public Schools

Elementary School

George Hall Elementary

San Mateo-Foster City

0.5 miles away
Middle School

Abbott Middle

San Mateo-Foster City

1.2 miles away
High School

Hillsdale High

San Mateo Union High

1.2 miles away

School boundaries are subject to change. Nearest school distance does not guarantee enrollment eligibility. Check with the local district. Data provided by CDE.

Proprietary Intelligence

Market Heat Index

84/100

Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 94403.

Flippability Score

10/100

Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.

Bidding War Prob.

66%

Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.

Proforma ROI Calculator

Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.

Median of 12 recent townhome sales in San Mateo (94403): $1,011/sqft, plus 5% because new houses sold at a median 1.07x their comps across 239 real rebuilds. Sized within 25% of the 2,000 sqft build, because smaller houses sell for more per foot and pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.

Interest on the purchase price for the whole project plus half the build budget, since construction draws ramp up. The default is 7% over 33 months, the median purchase-to-sale time of 239 real Peninsula and South Bay rebuilds. Set the rate to 0 for a cash purchase, or use your own lender's terms.

Hard Costs$1,100,000
New Build2,000 sqft
Total Capital Required$2,814,000
Estimated Resale (ARV)$2,124,000
Cost of Sale (5%)-$106,200
Carry (33mo @ 7%)-$418,976
Net Proceeds$1,598,824

Projected Profit

-$1,215,176
-43.2% ROI

Warning: Project is mathematically underwater.

Recent Comparables (San Mateo 94403)

Sized to the modelled 2,000 sqft build: sales within 25% of it. Smaller houses sell for more per foot, so pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

2876 Catalino St

Sold
$1,988,000
Sold: 2026-10-01
Lot: 4,219
Sqft: 1770
$/Sqft: $1,123

264 W 20th Ave

Sold
$985,000
Sold: 2026-09-03
Lot: -
Sqft: 1552
$/Sqft: $635

1999 Ofarrell St

Sold
$1,050,000
Sold: 2026-07-13
Lot: -
Sqft: 1507
$/Sqft: $697

116 Franklin Pkwy

Sold
$1,600,000
Sold: 2026-06-25
Lot: -
Sqft: 1608
$/Sqft: $995

181 Waters Park Cir

Sold
$1,825,000
Sold: 2026-06-16
Lot: -
Sqft: 2088
$/Sqft: $874

1331 Wayne Way

Sold
$1,450,000
Sold: 2026-05-19
Lot: 2,758
Sqft: 1750
$/Sqft: $829

3044 Mawing Rd

Sold
$2,235,000
Sold: 2026-05-14
Lot: -
Sqft: 2172
$/Sqft: $1,029

1211 Wayne Way

Sold
$1,650,000
Sold: 2026-04-06
Lot: 2,598
Sqft: 1750
$/Sqft: $943

406 E 28th Ave # L6

Sold
$2,000,000
Sold: 2026-04-02
Lot: 8,880
Sqft: 1690
$/Sqft: $1,183

406 E 28th Ave

Sold
$2,000,000
Sold: 2026-04-02
Lot: 1,945
Sqft: 1690
$/Sqft: $1,183

2862 Baze Rd

Sold
$1,755,000
Sold: 2026-04-01
Lot: 2,345
Sqft: 1710
$/Sqft: $1,026

416 Longden Ave # H1

Sold
$2,300,500
Sold: 2026-03-18
Lot: 8,701
Sqft: 2120
$/Sqft: $1,085