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ActiveSingle Family

$5,298,000

563 Jefferson Dr, Palo Alto 94303

Beds3
Baths2
Sqft2,405
DOM2
No Photos Available

AddressIntel AI Briefing

This massive Palo Alto lot with a 1950s build provides an outstanding luxury development opportunity. The optimal play is teardown-and-mansionize to align with high-end neighborhood expectations, though liquefaction requires engineered foundation support. Active high-value local permits confirm strong builder demand in this tier.

Property Permit History

DateProject TypeStatusValuationContractor
Expired$1,0005 STAR BEST PLUMBING
2026-08-21Roof: Like for like re-roof, only one structure per permit (detached single-family and duplex only, non-historic property)Permit Issued$41,235COSMOS ROOFING INC
2026-08-21Roof: Like for like re-roof, only one structure per permit (detached single-family and duplex only, non-historic property)Permit Issued$8,657COSMOS ROOFING INC

Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (Palo Alto)

790 ROSEWOOD DR
$65,000Finaled
432 RUTHVEN AV
$7,200Finaled
1189 WELCH RD
$32,000Finaled
670 SAN ANTONIO RD
$11,256Finaled
3351 ALMA ST, APT 202
$4,000Finaled
1689 HAMILTON AV
$13,238Finaled

Parcel & Zoning Info

APN00313017
Official Lot Sqft10,890
Zoning Code--
SB 9 StatusLikely · up to 4 units
SB 9 Block Reasons No SB 9 disqualifiers found
Development Blockers
Liquefaction
Unlock Pathways
Ministerial ADU Ministerial SB 9 Density Bonus
Entitlement RiskLow (0/100)

ADU Potential

Feasibility Score94/100
Max ADU Units2 (ADU + JADU)
Est. ADU Size1,200 sqft
Existing Coverage22.1%

Flag / irregular · Corner lot · ~139 ft frontage × 157 ft deep, a tucked-away rear unit is very private; access is typically via the pole driveway. A second street frontage lets an ADU take its own entrance and address.

Screening heuristic based on lot size, existing coverage, lot orientation, and hazard overlays. CA ADU law is ministerial statewide; verify max size, setbacks, and JADU owner-occupancy with the local planning dept.

Redevelopment Potential

Redevelopment Score67/100
ClassExpansion room
FAR Utilization60% of allowed
Buildable Headroom+1,612 sqft

Meaningful unused floor-area headroom under current zoning, room to add square footage. Zoning allows roughly 4,017 sqft of gross floor area on this lot.

Screening estimate comparing existing living area to the city's single-family floor-area limit. FAR rule curated from current municipal code. Source: PAMC 18.12.040 Table 2; max house size 6,000 sqft (as of 2026-06-30). Verify FAR, coverage, setbacks, and height with the local planning dept.

Hazard Snapshot

Flood Zone

X
Area of minimal flood hazard.

Fire Severity

None
Not in a mapped state fire severity zone.

Liquefaction

Yes
In a mapped liquefaction zone. May require specialized foundation engineering.

Fault Zone

No
Not in a mapped Alquist-Priolo fault zone.

Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities. Liquefaction and fault flags: modified from California Geological Survey, Web Service of Official Maps of Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones and Web Service of Official Maps of Seismic Hazard Zones (2025).

Nearby Public Schools

Elementary School

Duveneck Elementary

Palo Alto Unified

0.1 miles away
Middle School

Frank S. Greene Jr. Middle

Palo Alto Unified

0.9 miles away
High School

East Palo Alto Academy

Sequoia Union High

0.8 miles away

School boundaries are subject to change. Nearest school distance does not guarantee enrollment eligibility. Check with the local district. Data provided by CDE.

Proprietary Intelligence

Market Heat Index

69/100

Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 94303.

Flippability Score

82/100

Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.

Bidding War Prob.

30%

Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.

Proforma ROI Calculator

Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.

Zoning allows roughly 4,017 sqft on this lot, and the default builds to that envelope. The FAR figure is a discretionary-review trigger, not a hard cap.

Median of 12 recent single-family sales in Palo Alto (94303): $1,886/sqft. Sized within 25% of the 4,000 sqft build, because smaller houses sell for more per foot and pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.

Carry on total capital for the project duration. At 0% the model is a cash purchase; 12 months at a typical construction-loan rate moves ROI by 6 to 10 points on a deal this size, so price it with your real rate.

Hard Costs$2,200,000
New Build4,000 sqft
Total Capital Required$7,673,000
Estimated Resale (ARV)$7,544,000
Cost of Sale (5%)-$377,200
Net Proceeds$7,166,800

Projected Profit

-$506,200
-6.6% ROI

Warning: Project is mathematically underwater.

Recent Comparables (Palo Alto 94303)

Sized to the modelled 4,000 sqft build: sales within 25% of it. Smaller houses sell for more per foot, so pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

1919 Barbara Dr

Sold
$6,899,000
Sold: 2026-09-08
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Sqft: 3149
$/Sqft: $2,191

1585 Edgewood Dr

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$9,498,000
Sold: 2026-08-12
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Sqft: 4708
$/Sqft: $2,017

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$8,100,000
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Sqft: 3685
$/Sqft: $2,198

2331 Carmel Dr

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$4,600,888
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Sqft: 3072
$/Sqft: $1,498

3198 Maddux Dr

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1033 Amarillo Ave

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3160 Louis Rd

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653 Wildwood Ln

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$4,600,000
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