$3,200,000
1380 Manzanita Dr, Millbrae 94030
AddressIntel AI Briefing
The massive lot indicates physical capacity for redevelopment, but the high entry price relative to the projected ARV undercuts a profitable teardown strategy. Instead, developers should pursue stealth density by adding detached ADU/JADU units to generate premium rental income while preserving the quality of the main home. This approach mitigates the risk of over-improving the site.
Property Permit History
Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (Millbrae)
Parcel & Zoning Info
ADU Potential
Flag / irregular · ~138 ft frontage × 148 ft deep, a tucked-away rear unit is very private; access is typically via the pole driveway.
Screening heuristic based on lot size, existing coverage, lot orientation, and hazard overlays. CA ADU law is ministerial statewide; verify max size, setbacks, and JADU owner-occupancy with the local planning dept.
Redevelopment Potential
Meaningful unused floor-area headroom under current zoning, room to add square footage. Zoning allows roughly 3,737 sqft of gross floor area on this lot.
Screening estimate comparing existing living area to the city's single-family floor-area limit. City sets no explicit FAR (or is not individually curated); allowable area is a conservative estimate. Source: conservative default (0.40 FAR — city not individually curated) (as of 2026-06-30). Verify FAR, coverage, setbacks, and height with the local planning dept.
Hazard Snapshot
Flood Zone
Fire Severity
Liquefaction
Fault Zone
Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities. Liquefaction and fault flags: modified from California Geological Survey, Web Service of Official Maps of Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones and Web Service of Official Maps of Seismic Hazard Zones (2025).
Nearby Public Schools
Spring Valley Elementary
Millbrae Elementary
Taylor Middle
Millbrae Elementary
Mills High
San Mateo Union High
School boundaries are subject to change. Nearest school distance does not guarantee enrollment eligibility. Check with the local district. Data provided by CDE.
Proprietary Intelligence
Market Heat Index
64/100
Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 94030.
Flippability Score
40/100
Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.
Bidding War Prob.
46%
Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.
Proforma ROI Calculator
Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.
We don't hold this jurisdiction's floor-area rule, so the default builds to roughly 3,737 sqft from a conservative 0.40 FAR approximation, a starting point and not a zoning answer. Check the local code before you rely on it.
Median of 12 recent single-family sales in Millbrae (94030): $963/sqft, plus 5% because new houses sold at a median 1.07x their comps across 239 real rebuilds. Sized within 25% of the 3,700 sqft build, because smaller houses sell for more per foot and pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.
Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.
Interest on the purchase price for the whole project plus half the build budget, since construction draws ramp up. The default is 7% over 33 months, the median purchase-to-sale time of 239 real Peninsula and South Bay rebuilds. Set the rate to 0 for a cash purchase, or use your own lender's terms.
Projected Profit
Warning: Project is mathematically underwater.
Recent Comparables (Millbrae 94030)
Sized to the modelled 3,700 sqft build: sales within 25% of it. Smaller houses sell for more per foot, so pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.