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ActiveSingle Family

$1,050,000

728 Commercial Ave, South San Francisco 94080

Beds2
Baths1
Sqft770
DOM1
No Photos Available

AddressIntel AI Briefing

The optimal play is an SB 9 lot split to construct multiple dense units on this exceptionally deep lot. The tiny, century-old fixer home has a very low lot coverage, making clearing the site straightforward and highly lucrative. With no active hazard zones, this is a clean and high-potential development play.

Property Permit History

No permit history found directly associated with this property's address.

Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (South San Francisco)

2026-10-21 • 121 RAMONA AVE
Residential Building - Alteration
--Inspection
2026-10-21 • 718 PARK WAY
Building Permit Revision
--Closed
2026-10-20 • 144 COUNTRY CLUB DR
Residential Building - Alteration
--Inspection
2026-10-20 • 140 SAN FELIPE AVE
Sewer Lateral
--Inspection
2026-10-20 • 251 RAINIER AVE
Sewer Lateral
--Inspection
2026-10-19 • 717 SOUTHWOOD DR
Residential Building - Addition
--Inspection

Parcel & Zoning Info

APN012201310
Official Lot Sqft7,000
Zoning CodeNO DATA ASSIGNED
SB 9 StatusLikely · up to 4 units
Unlock Pathways
Ministerial ADU Ministerial SB 9 Density Bonus
Entitlement RiskLow (0/100)

ADU Potential

Feasibility Score98/100
Max ADU Units2 (ADU + JADU)
Est. ADU Size1,200 sqft
Existing Coverage11%

Flag / irregular · Corner lot · ~88 ft frontage × 149 ft deep, a tucked-away rear unit is very private; access is typically via the pole driveway. A second street frontage lets an ADU take its own entrance and address.

Screening heuristic based on lot size, existing coverage, lot orientation, and hazard overlays. CA ADU law is ministerial statewide; verify max size, setbacks, and JADU owner-occupancy with the local planning dept.

Seller Motivation

Motivation Score15/100
Low motivation
Fixer / needs work

Inferred from days on market and listing-description language (e.g. "as-is", "estate sale", "motivated seller"). A screening heuristic for likely negotiability, not a statement about the seller's circumstances.

Redevelopment Potential

Redevelopment Score72/100
ClassTeardown candidate
FAR Utilization28% of allowed
Buildable Headroom+2,030 sqft

Small, older home using a low share of the allowable building envelope on a sizable lot, a scrape-and-rebuild or major-expansion play. Zoning allows roughly 2,800 sqft of gross floor area on this lot.

Screening estimate comparing existing living area to the city's single-family floor-area limit. City sets no explicit FAR (or is not individually curated); allowable area is a conservative estimate. Source: conservative default (0.40 FAR — city not individually curated) (as of 2026-06-30). Verify FAR, coverage, setbacks, and height with the local planning dept.

Hazard Snapshot

Flood Zone

X
Area of minimal flood hazard.

Fire Severity

None
Not in a mapped state fire severity zone.

Liquefaction

No
Not in a mapped liquefaction zone.

Fault Zone

No
Not in a mapped Alquist-Priolo fault zone.

Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities. Liquefaction and fault flags: modified from California Geological Survey, Web Service of Official Maps of Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones and Web Service of Official Maps of Seismic Hazard Zones (2025).

Nearby Public Schools

Elementary School

Los Cerritos Elementary

South San Francisco Unified

0.4 miles away
Middle School

Parkway Heights Middle

South San Francisco Unified

0.4 miles away
High School

South San Francisco High

South San Francisco Unified

0.6 miles away

School boundaries are subject to change. Nearest school distance does not guarantee enrollment eligibility. Check with the local district. Data provided by CDE.

Proprietary Intelligence

Market Heat Index

80/100

Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 94080.

Flippability Score

90/100

Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.

Bidding War Prob.

65%

Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.

Proforma ROI Calculator

Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.

We don't hold this jurisdiction's floor-area rule, so the default builds to roughly 2,800 sqft from a conservative 0.40 FAR approximation, a starting point and not a zoning answer. Check the local code before you rely on it.

Median of 12 recent single-family sales in South San Francisco (94080): $722/sqft, plus 5% because new houses sold at a median 1.07x their comps across 239 real rebuilds. Sized within 25% of the 2,800 sqft build, because smaller houses sell for more per foot and pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.

Interest on the purchase price for the whole project plus half the build budget, since construction draws ramp up. The default is 7% over 33 months, the median purchase-to-sale time of 239 real Peninsula and South Bay rebuilds. Set the rate to 0 for a cash purchase, or use your own lender's terms.

Hard Costs$1,540,000
New Build2,800 sqft
Total Capital Required$2,765,000
Estimated Resale (ARV)$2,122,400
Cost of Sale (5%)-$106,120
Carry (33mo @ 7%)-$367,194
Net Proceeds$1,649,086

Projected Profit

-$1,115,914
-40.4% ROI

Warning: Project is mathematically underwater.

Recent Comparables (South San Francisco 94080)

Sized to the modelled 2,800 sqft build: sales within 25% of it. Smaller houses sell for more per foot, so pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

541 Chestnut Ave

Sold
$1,680,000
Sold: 2026-10-20
Lot: 4,817
Sqft: 3160
$/Sqft: $532

3040 Dublin Dr

Sold
$1,955,000
Sold: 2026-10-16
Lot: 5,301
Sqft: 2240
$/Sqft: $873

104 Verano Dr

Sold
$2,300,000
Sold: 2026-10-14
Lot: 5,633
Sqft: 3015
$/Sqft: $763

770 Miller Ave

Sold
$1,628,000
Sold: 2026-10-05
Lot: 8,131
Sqft: 2360
$/Sqft: $690

23 Shasta Ct

Sold
$2,200,000
Sold: 2026-09-30
Lot: 10,497
Sqft: 2980
$/Sqft: $738

2200 Delvin Way

Sold
$1,800,000
Sold: 2026-09-16
Lot: 5,454
Sqft: 2230
$/Sqft: $807

22 Buena Vista Rd

Sold
$1,650,000
Sold: 2026-09-01
Lot: 3,315
Sqft: 2400
$/Sqft: $688

21 Amaryllis Ct

Sold
$2,185,000
Sold: 2026-08-21
Lot: 5,340
Sqft: 2140
$/Sqft: $1,021

2465 Erin Pl

Sold
$1,705,000
Sold: 2026-08-14
Lot: 5,001
Sqft: 2400
$/Sqft: $710

55 Buena Vista Rd

Sold
$1,588,000
Sold: 2026-08-10
Lot: 2,875
Sqft: 2490
$/Sqft: $638

731 Grand Ave

Sold
$1,820,000
Sold: 2026-08-03
Lot: 4,000
Sqft: 2479
$/Sqft: $734

106 Chapman Ave

Sold
$1,300,000
Sold: 2026-07-15
Lot: 2,256
Sqft: 2347
$/Sqft: $554