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Activesingle_family

$8,498,000

16840 Cypress Way, Los Gatos 95030

Beds5
Baths5.5
Sqft5,844
DOM183
No Photos Available

AddressIntel AI Briefing

Sizable asset but severely limited by its landslide hazard and an entry price above the theoretical ARV. High risk and lack of financial cushion make this a pass.

Property Permit History

No permit history found directly associated with this property's address.

Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (Los Gatos)

2026-10-21 • 120 PRIVADA LUISITA, LOS GATOS CA 95030
Residential - Alteration
--Pending
2026-10-21 • 100 BELWOOD GATEWAY, LOS GATOS CA 95032
Online Pre-aplication
--Received
2026-10-21 • 105 OAK RIM CT, APT 18, LOS GATOS CA 95032
Residential - Water Heater
--Pending
2026-10-21 • 237 VISTA DE SIERRA, LOS GATOS CA 95030
Residential - Retaining Wall
--Pending
2026-10-21 • 128 NEWELL AVE, LOS GATOS CA 95032
Residential - Alteration
--Plan Check
2026-10-21 • 112 BELWOOD LN, LOS GATOS CA 95032
Residential - Water Heater
--Plan Check

Parcel & Zoning Info

APNSanta Clara County Coming Soon
Official Lot Sqft88,427
Zoning Code--
SB 9 StatusLikely · up to 4 units
SB 9 Block Reasons No SB 9 disqualifiers found
Development Blockers
Landslide
Unlock Pathways
Ministerial ADU Ministerial SB 9 Density Bonus
Entitlement RiskLow (0/100)

ADU Potential

Feasibility Score100/100
Max ADU Units2 (ADU + JADU)
Est. ADU Size1,200 sqft
Existing Coverage6.6%

Flag / irregular · Corner lot · ~360 ft frontage × 494 ft deep, a tucked-away rear unit is very private; access is typically via the pole driveway. A second street frontage lets an ADU take its own entrance and address.

Screening heuristic based on lot size, existing coverage, lot orientation, and hazard overlays. CA ADU law is ministerial statewide; verify max size, setbacks, and JADU owner-occupancy with the local planning dept.

Seller Motivation

Motivation Score30/100
Some motivation
90+ days on market

Inferred from days on market and listing-description language (e.g. "as-is", "estate sale", "motivated seller"). A screening heuristic for likely negotiability, not a statement about the seller's circumstances.

Redevelopment Potential

Redevelopment Score60/100
ClassExpansion room
FAR Utilization44% of allowed
Buildable Headroom+7,420 sqft

Meaningful unused floor-area headroom under current zoning, room to add square footage. Zoning allows roughly 13,264 sqft of gross floor area on this lot.

Screening estimate comparing existing living area to the city's single-family floor-area limit. FAR rule curated from current municipal code. Source: Los Gatos Town Code 29.40.075 (as of 2026-06-30). Verify FAR, coverage, setbacks, and height with the local planning dept.

Hazard Snapshot

Flood Zone

D
Special flood hazard area; insurance may be required.

Fire Severity

Moderate
Elevated fire risk; impacts insurance cost and building materials.

Liquefaction

No
Not in a mapped liquefaction zone.

Fault Zone

No
Not in a mapped Alquist-Priolo fault zone.

Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities. Liquefaction and fault flags: modified from California Geological Survey, Web Service of Official Maps of Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones and Web Service of Official Maps of Seismic Hazard Zones (2025).

Nearby Public Schools

Elementary School

Louise Van Meter Elementary

Los Gatos Union Elementary

1.0 miles away
Middle School

Raymond J. Fisher Middle

Los Gatos Union Elementary

1.2 miles away
High School

Los Gatos High

Los Gatos-Saratoga Union High

0.8 miles away

School boundaries are subject to change. Nearest school distance does not guarantee enrollment eligibility. Check with the local district. Data provided by CDE.

Proprietary Intelligence

Market Heat Index

49/100

Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 95030.

Flippability Score

12/100

Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.

Bidding War Prob.

1%

Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.

Proforma ROI Calculator

Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.

Zoning allows roughly 13,264 sqft on this lot, and the default builds to that envelope. The FAR figure is a discretionary-review trigger, not a hard cap.

Median of 3 recent single-family sales in Los Gatos (95030): $1,022/sqft, plus 5% because new houses sold at a median 1.07x their comps across 239 real rebuilds. Sized within 50% of the 13,300 sqft build, because smaller houses sell for more per foot and pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.

Interest on the purchase price for the whole project plus half the build budget, since construction draws ramp up. The default is 7% over 33 months, the median purchase-to-sale time of 239 real Peninsula and South Bay rebuilds. Set the rate to 0 for a cash purchase, or use your own lender's terms.

Hard Costs$7,315,000
New Build13,300 sqft
Total Capital Required$15,988,000
Estimated Resale (ARV)$14,270,900
Cost of Sale (5%)-$713,545
Carry (33mo @ 7%)-$2,356,778
Net Proceeds$11,200,578

Projected Profit

-$4,787,423
-29.9% ROI

Warning: Project is mathematically underwater.

Recent Comparables (Los Gatos 95030)

Sized to the modelled 13,300 sqft build: sales within 50% of it. Smaller houses sell for more per foot, so pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.

16140 Matilija Dr

Sold
$11,000,000
Sold: 2026-02-11
Lot: 45,302
Sqft: 7370
$/Sqft: $1,493

16541 Cypress Way

Sold
$7,450,000
Sold: 2025-10-31
Lot: 87,120
Sqft: 7292
$/Sqft: $1,022

15567 Glen Una Dr

Sold
$2,319,000
Sold: 2025-06-03
Lot: 64,777
Sqft: 6660
$/Sqft: $348