$2,750,000
778 Elm St, San Carlos 94070
AddressIntel AI Briefing
The optimal development play here is stealth density: primary + ADU + JADU to maximize the low coverage ratio on this older lot. Active local permit heat suggests a welcoming environment for accessory dwelling projects. However, liquefaction serves as a geologic development blocker that will require enhanced engineering and foundation design.
Property Permit History
Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (San Carlos)
Parcel & Zoning Info
ADU Potential
Flag / irregular · ~142 ft frontage × 148 ft deep, a tucked-away rear unit is very private; access is typically via the pole driveway.
Screening heuristic based on lot size, existing coverage, lot orientation, and hazard overlays. CA ADU law is ministerial statewide; verify max size, setbacks, and JADU owner-occupancy with the local planning dept.
Redevelopment Potential
Small, older home using a low share of the allowable building envelope on a sizable lot, a scrape-and-rebuild or major-expansion play. Zoning allows roughly 3,100 sqft of gross floor area on this lot.
Screening estimate comparing existing living area to the city's single-family floor-area limit. City sets no explicit FAR (or is not individually curated); allowable area is a conservative estimate. Source: conservative default (0.40 FAR — city not individually curated) (as of 2026-06-30). Verify FAR, coverage, setbacks, and height with the local planning dept.
Hazard Snapshot
Flood Zone
Fire Severity
Liquefaction
Fault Zone
Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities. Liquefaction and fault flags: modified from California Geological Survey, Web Service of Official Maps of Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones and Web Service of Official Maps of Seismic Hazard Zones (2025).
Nearby Public Schools
Arroyo
San Carlos Elementary
Central Middle
San Carlos Elementary
Redwood High
Sequoia Union High
School boundaries are subject to change. Nearest school distance does not guarantee enrollment eligibility. Check with the local district. Data provided by CDE.
Proprietary Intelligence
Market Heat Index
87/100
Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 94070.
Flippability Score
55/100
Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.
Bidding War Prob.
45%
Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.
Proforma ROI Calculator
Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.
We don't hold this jurisdiction's floor-area rule, so the default builds to roughly 3,100 sqft from a conservative 0.40 FAR approximation, a starting point and not a zoning answer. Check the local code before you rely on it.
Median of 12 recent single-family sales in San Carlos (94070): $1,325/sqft. Sized within 25% of the 3,100 sqft build, because smaller houses sell for more per foot and pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.
Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.
Carry on total capital for the project duration. At 0% the model is a cash purchase; 12 months at a typical construction-loan rate moves ROI by 6 to 10 points on a deal this size, so price it with your real rate.
Projected Profit
Warning: Project is mathematically underwater.
Recent Comparables (San Carlos 94070)
Sized to the modelled 3,100 sqft build: sales within 25% of it. Smaller houses sell for more per foot, so pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.