$1,197,000
444 Chelsea Xing, San Jose 95138
AddressIntel AI Briefing
The optimal play is a light interior cosmetic remodel and hold, as the high 69% lot coverage and low ADU feasibility make heavy density plays impractical. The highly stable local demographics with 98.6% owner occupancy support a low-risk, high-demand rental profile. Bypassing complex structural additions is recommended to avoid unnecessary overhead on this tight lot.
Property Permit History
Recent Neighborhood Remodeling (San Jose)
Parcel & Zoning Info
ADU Potential
Flag / irregular · Corner lot · ~66 ft frontage × 73 ft deep, a tucked-away rear unit is very private; access is typically via the pole driveway. A second street frontage lets an ADU take its own entrance and address.
Screening heuristic based on lot size, existing coverage, lot orientation, and hazard overlays. CA ADU law is ministerial statewide; verify max size, setbacks, and JADU owner-occupancy with the local planning dept.
Redevelopment Potential
Existing home already uses most of the allowable floor area, little expansion headroom. Zoning allows roughly 1,176 sqft of gross floor area on this lot.
Screening estimate comparing existing living area to the city's single-family floor-area limit. FAR figure is a discretionary-review trigger, not a hard cap. Treat as approximate. Source: SJMC 20.30.200; 20.100.1020 (Single-Family House Permit) (as of 2026-06-30). Verify FAR, coverage, setbacks, and height with the local planning dept.
Hazard Snapshot
Flood Zone
Fire Severity
Liquefaction
Fault Zone
Not a substitute for a Natural Hazard Disclosure (NHD) report. Zones reflect available GIS data and may not cover all localities. Liquefaction and fault flags: modified from California Geological Survey, Web Service of Official Maps of Alquist-Priolo Earthquake Fault Zones and Web Service of Official Maps of Seismic Hazard Zones (2025).
Nearby Public Schools
Ledesma (Rita) Elementary
Oak Grove Elementary
Martin Murphy Middle
Morgan Hill Unified
Oak Grove High
East Side Union High
School boundaries are subject to change. Nearest school distance does not guarantee enrollment eligibility. Check with the local district. Data provided by CDE.
Proprietary Intelligence
Market Heat Index
58/100
Based on recent sales velocity and local demand in 95138.
Flippability Score
40/100
Measures neighborhood renovation density vs. recent permits on this property.
Bidding War Prob.
21%
Likelihood of multiple offers based on local list-to-sale ratios and DOM.
Proforma ROI Calculator
Back-of-the-napkin deal analysis across development strategies.
Zoning allows roughly 1,176 sqft here, less than the 1,653 sqft standing today, so a compliant rebuild would be smaller than the existing house. We don't quote a return on this one. Demolishing generally forfeits the existing non-conforming floor area, so treat it as a remodel or check the local code for what it lets you rebuild.
Median of 12 recent single-family sales in San Jose (95138): $792/sqft. Sized within 25% of the 1,700 sqft build, because smaller houses sell for more per foot and pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.
Commission, transfer tax and closing. Deducted from resale before profit, so the ROI below is net of the exit rather than gross.
Carry on total capital for the project duration. At 0% the model is a cash purchase; 12 months at a typical construction-loan rate moves ROI by 6 to 10 points on a deal this size, so price it with your real rate.
Projected Profit
Warning: Project is mathematically underwater.
Recent Comparables (San Jose 95138)
Sized to the modelled 1,700 sqft build: sales within 25% of it. Smaller houses sell for more per foot, so pricing a rebuild off them overstates resale.